Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 10′Dynamo Dresden, goal:1–0assist
- 29′Hertha BSC, goal:1–1assist
- 32′Dynamo Dresden, yellow card:Foul
- 37′Hertha BSC, yellow card:Foul
- 39′Dynamo Dresden, yellow card:Argument
- 43′Hertha BSC, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- 57′Hertha BSC, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 66′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 66′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 74′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- 74′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- 74′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 74′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 74′Dynamo Dresden, substitution:off
- 80′Hertha BSC, goal:1–2assist
- 86′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- 90′Hertha BSC, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Dynamo Dresden
Hertha BSC
Match report
Þorsteinsson double sends Hertha BSC top past Dynamo Dresden
Hertha BSC came from behind to beat Dynamo Dresden 2-1 in a 2. Bundesliga fixture at the Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, a result that stretched the visitors' unbeaten run and left Dresden stuck deep in the table. The match, played on matchday six, saw the league leaders overturn an early deficit against a home side struggling for form.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Dresden made the brighter start and led inside ten minutes when Patrice Čović finished from a Vincent Vermeij assist. Hertha responded before the half-hour mark, Jón Þorsteinsson converting a Josip Brekalo pass to level the score at 1-1, a scoreline that held through to the interval. The visitors then took control after the break and Þorsteinsson struck again in the 80th minute, this time set up by Mads Pedersen, to complete his brace and put Hertha 2-1 ahead for good.
The gulf in territory told the story of the second half in particular, with Hertha registering 26 shots to Dresden's seven and nine on target compared with the hosts' two, despite finishing with only marginally more possession at 51 per cent. Dresden's resistance held for long periods but ultimately could not survive Þorsteinsson's second intervention, as Hertha moved to the top of the table while Dresden remained in the relegation zone.
Jón Þorsteinsson scored both of Hertha's goals, including the 80th-minute winner, and finished with a match-high rating of 9.53.
Hertha's 26 shots to Dresden's seven underlined how thoroughly the visitors dominated in front of goal.
Hertha BSC won 2–1 away against Dynamo Dresden (half-time 1–1).
Dynamo Dresden met Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 18:30 UTC at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Referee: Christian Dingert.
Team pages: Dynamo Dresden · Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 10' Goal: Patrice Čović (assist: Vincent Vermeij) — 1–0 · Watch Patrice Čović's goal video (10')
- 29' Goal: Jón Þorsteinsson (assist: Josip Brekalo) — 1–1 · Watch Jón Þorsteinsson's goal video (29')
- 80' Goal: Jón Þorsteinsson (assist: Mads Valentin) — 1–2 · Watch Jón Þorsteinsson's goal video (80')
Starting line-ups
Dynamo Dresden (4-2-3-1)
Hertha BSC (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dynamo Dresden 33%, the draw 28%, Hertha BSC 39%. It finished Dynamo Dresden 1–2 Hertha BSC.
Hertha BSC's rating edge outweighs Dynamo Dresden's home ground — Hertha BSC are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Hertha BSC the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Hertha BSC at 39%?
Hertha BSC sit 146 points higher on our strength rating — 1481 to 1628. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,189 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Dynamo Dresden's column. Across 11,181 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–27–45.
Why only 39%?
Dynamo Dresden hold 6 more possession points (56 to 50 in recent games) across a 146-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,693 such games where the class table expected 41.2%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,242. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Hertha BSC won 2 of the last 3 meetings with Dynamo Dresden. The record is 2 wins for Hertha BSC, 1 draw and 0 wins for Dynamo Dresden. These were 1 DFB Pokal game and 2 2. Bundesliga games played at both grounds between 30 October 2019 and 4 April 2026. Latest meeting: 4 April 2026 — Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC. In 5,643 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%. Last five: Dynamo Dresden W-W-L-L-D, Hertha BSC W-D-W-W-W — Hertha BSC are clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 6 in all competitions (5 wins, 1 draw), a run going back to August 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.6% of 2215 games when clearly hotter and 42.7% of 4038 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Patrice Čović's goal against Hertha BSC (10').
- Watch Jón Þorsteinsson's goal against Dynamo Dresden (29').
- Watch Jón Þorsteinsson's goal against Dynamo Dresden (80').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dynamo Dresden 1–2 Hertha BSC. Explore more on the Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.