Holstein Kiel vs 19.09.26 11:001 – 1Full Time
VfL Osnabrück — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Kiel held to draw by Osnabrück after Sekine's own goal and red card
Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the 2. Bundesliga, a result that did little to lift Kiel from the lower reaches of the table despite a spell of second-half pressure from the visitors. The match at Holstein-Stadion was played out under referee Tom Bauer on matchday six of the Regular Season.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Kiel took charge just before the interval when Phil Harres converted a penalty in first-half stoppage time to make it 1-0 at half-time. Osnabrück responded after the break, drawing level in the 72nd minute through an own goal from Hiroki Sekine. Two minutes later Kiel were reduced to ten men when David Zec was sent off, leaving Walter's side to see out the remainder with a numerical disadvantage.
Despite playing with ten men for the final stretch, Kiel held on for a point, finishing with 58 percent of possession and 17 shots to Osnabrück's 13. The draw left Kiel ninth in points won this season while sitting 15th in the table, with Osnabrück up in ninth position on seven points from six games.
Phil Harres scored the opening penalty just before half-time and was rated 7.16, though it was teammate Adrián Kaprálik who edged him out as Kiel's top performer on the day with a 7.2 rating despite neither registering an assist.
Kiel's dominance in corners, ten to Osnabrück's one, reflected how much of the match was played in the visitors' territory.
Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Holstein Kiel met VfL Osnabrück in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 11:00 UTC at Holstein-Stadion. Referee: Tom Bauer.
Team pages: Holstein Kiel · VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 45+2' Goal (penalty): Phil Harres — 1–0 · Watch Phil Harres's goal video (45+2')
- 72' Goal (own goal): Hiroki Sekine — 1–1 · Watch Hiroki Sekine's goal video (72')
- 74' Red card: David Zec
Starting line-ups
Holstein Kiel (4-1-4-1)
VfL Osnabrück (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Holstein Kiel 55%, the draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 19%. It finished Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück.
Holstein Kiel's rating edge carries it — Holstein Kiel are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Holstein Kiel's 55%. The draw at 26% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Holstein Kiel at 55%?
Holstein Kiel sit 190 points higher on our strength rating — 1526 to 1336. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,822 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–21–19.
Why only 55%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Holstein Kiel's column. Across 11,181 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,116. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Holstein Kiel average 12 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 190 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. VfL Osnabrück are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück. Explore more on the Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?
Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?
Phil Harres (45+2') (penalty) for Holstein Kiel; Hiroki Sekine (72') (own goal) for VfL Osnabrück.
›Where can I watch Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück?
Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück have met 6 times — 2 wins for Holstein Kiel, 3 wins for VfL Osnabrück and 1 draw.