Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 21′Karlsruher SC, yellow card:Foul
- 30′1. FC Nürnberg, goal:0–1assist
- 38′Karlsruher SC, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 46′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 67′1. FC Nürnberg, yellow card:Foul
- 70′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 70′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 71′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 71′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 72′Karlsruher SC, yellow card:Argument
- 79′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 86′Karlsruher SC, substitution:off
- 90′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- 90′1. FC Nürnberg, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
Match report
Zoma strike sends leaders Nürnberg past Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg secured a 1-0 win away at Karlsruher SC in matchday six of the 2. Bundesliga, played at the BBBank Wildpark. The single goal, scored midway through the first half, proved enough to keep the visitors top of the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Mohamed Zoma broke the deadlock in the 30th minute, finishing off a J. Fernandez assist to put Nürnberg ahead, and that scoreline held firm through to half-time and beyond. Karlsruher pressed for a way back but could not find the finish to match their territory.
Despite holding just 32 percent of possession, Nürnberg matched their hosts closely in attempts, managing nine shots to Karlsruher's ten, with three on target apiece. Karlsruher picked up three yellow cards to Nürnberg's one as the home side's frustration grew, while Timo Gansloweit took charge of a match with sixteen fouls committed by the hosts against eleven from the away side.
Zoma's goal and a rating of 8.2 made him the difference for Nürnberg, capping a display that also saw teammate Fernandez credited with the assist.
Karlsruher dominated the ball with 68 percent possession but could not convert that control into a breakthrough.
1. FC Nürnberg won 1–0 away against Karlsruher SC (half-time 0–1).
Karlsruher SC met 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 11:00 UTC at BBBank Wildpark. Referee: Timo Gansloweit.
Team pages: Karlsruher SC · 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 30' Goal: Mohamed Zoma (assist: J. Fernandez) — 0–1 · Watch Mohamed Zoma's goal video (30')
Starting line-ups
Karlsruher SC (4-4-2)
1. FC Nürnberg (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Karlsruher SC 31%, the draw 27%, 1. FC Nürnberg 42%. It finished Karlsruher SC 0–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
1. FC Nürnberg's rating edge outweighs Karlsruher SC's home ground — 1. FC Nürnberg are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives 1. FC Nürnberg the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why 1. FC Nürnberg at 42%?
1. FC Nürnberg sit 104 points higher on our strength rating — 1491 to 1595. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,189 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Karlsruher SC's column. Across 11,181 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 34–26–40.
Why only 42%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 42% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Karlsruher SC at 31%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,242. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
1. FC Nürnberg scored +0.71 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,878 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. 1. FC Nürnberg have gained 97 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,385 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Karlsruher SC 0–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Explore more on the Karlsruher SC and 1. FC Nürnberg team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.