1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 11′1. FC Heidenheim, yellow card:Foul
- 16′Energie Cottbus, yellow card:Time wasting
- 37′Energie Cottbus, yellow card:Foul
- 40′Energie Cottbus, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 49′1. FC Heidenheim, goal:1–1assist
- 52′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 65′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 65′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 66′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 69′1. FC Heidenheim, yellow card:Foul
- 79′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- 83′Energie Cottbus, substitution:off
- 86′1. FC Heidenheim, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
1. FC Heidenheim
Energie Cottbus
Match report
Heidenheim held 1-1 by Energie Cottbus despite 34 shots
1. FC Heidenheim were held to a 1-1 draw by Energie Cottbus at the Voith-Arena on matchday 9 of the 2. Bundesliga. The hosts dominated territory and chances but could only take a point from a contest in which the visitors scored with their first meaningful opening and then defended for long spells.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cottbus went ahead five minutes before the interval. Tolcay Ciğerci supplied the pass and Lucas Copado finished, giving the away side a 1-0 half-time lead despite Heidenheim's pressure.
Heidenheim levelled four minutes after the restart. Paul Hennrich provided the assist and Oualid Mhamdi scored in the 49th minute to make it 1-1. Heidenheim kept pressing for a winner but could not find a second goal, and Cottbus held on to the draw.
The result left Heidenheim sixth on 15 points, five clear of Cottbus, who stayed ninth on 10. Heidenheim travel to Karlsruher SC on Saturday 31 October in the 2. Bundesliga, while Cottbus host VfL Bochum in the same competition on Friday 30 October.
Lucas Copado, the top-rated performer on 7.93, scored the opening goal for Energie Cottbus after Tolcay Ciğerci's assist. Paul Hennrich, rated 7.7, created Heidenheim's equaliser.
Heidenheim had 34 shots to Cottbus's 7, yet managed only one goal.
1. FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
1. FC Heidenheim met Energie Cottbus in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 11:00 UTC at Voith-Arena. Referee: Patrick Schwengers.
Team pages: 1. FC Heidenheim · Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 40' Goal: Lucas Copado (assist: Tolcay Ciğerci) — 0–1
- 49' Goal: Oualid Mhamdi (assist: Paul Hennrich) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
1. FC Heidenheim (4-4-2)
Energie Cottbus (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave 1. FC Heidenheim 58%, the draw 23%, Energie Cottbus 19%. It finished 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 Energie Cottbus.
Strength rating puts Heidenheim clearly ahead — We give Heidenheim 58% mainly because they sit 90 points higher on our strength rating, 1487 to 1397, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw starts at 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 23% because both teams' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why 1. FC Heidenheim at 58%?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 90 points higher on our strength rating — 1487 to 1397. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 49–28–23.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Energie Cottbus at 19%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Energie Cottbus are newly promoted — game 9 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the 1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the 1. FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.