Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor — Süper Lig: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 10′Kasımpaşa, yellow card:Foul
- 43′Trabzonspor, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 55′Kasımpaşa, penalty goal:1–1Penalty
- 58′Trabzonspor, substitution:off
- 67′Trabzonspor, substitution:off
- 67′Trabzonspor, substitution:off
- 68′Kasımpaşa, yellow card:Foul
- 78′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 82′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- 84′Trabzonspor, substitution:off
- 90+2′Kasımpaşa, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Videos
Player Ratings
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor
Match report
Kasımpaşa share spoils with Trabzonspor after Benedyczak penalty cancels out Saviolo strike
Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor drew 1-1 in their Süper Lig Regular Season - 1 opener, a result that leaves both sides level on a single point after matchday one. The contest, played on 15 August 2026, swung on a first-half goal and a second-half penalty as neither manager, Shota Arveladze nor Fatih Tekke, could find a winner.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Trabzonspor broke the deadlock in first-half stoppage time when Noah Saviolo converted, assisted by Metehan Mimaroğlu, to make it 0-1 at the break. Kasımpaşa responded after the interval, with Adrian Benedyczak levelling from the penalty spot in the 55th minute to bring the score to 1-1, and neither side found a further breakthrough as the match closed out level.
Despite finishing with less of the ball, Trabzonspor were the more clinical side going forward, registering 13 shots to Kasımpaşa's eight and generating 5 on target compared with four. Kasımpaşa saw more of the possession at 41 to 59 in their opponents' favour, yet picked up more cautions, with two yellow cards shown against none for the visitors.
André Onana was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 7.9 mark, while goalscorer Noah Saviolo also featured among Trabzonspor's standout contributors after netting the opener.
Trabzonspor held a clear edge in expected goals, outscoring Kasımpaşa's 0.74 with a tally of 1.69 despite drawing the match.
Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Kasımpaşa met Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 16:00 UTC at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium. Referee: G. Hasova.
Team pages: Kasımpaşa · Trabzonspor · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 43' Goal: Noah Saviolo (assist: Metehan Mimaroğlu) — 0–1 · Watch Noah Saviolo's goal video (43')
- 55' Goal (penalty): Adrian Benedyczak — 1–1 · Watch Adrian Benedyczak's goal video (55')
Starting line-ups
Kasımpaşa (4-2-3-1)
Trabzonspor (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kasımpaşa 17%, the draw 30%, Trabzonspor 53%. It finished Kasımpaşa 1–1 Trabzonspor.
Trabzonspor's rating gap, but the draw is in play — Trabzonspor are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Trabzonspor the lean. The draw at 30% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Trabzonspor at 53%?
Trabzonspor sit 295 points higher on our strength rating — 1538 to 1833. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,019 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Kasımpaşa's column. Across 10,563 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 18–27–55.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 30% and Kasımpaşa at 17%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Kasımpaşa win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,561. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Trabzonspor average 11 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 295 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Last 6 between them: Kasımpaşa 1 win, 2 draws, Trabzonspor 3 wins. Most recently Trabzonspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa, 7 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.0% of 5567 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Noah Saviolo's goal against Kasımpaşa (43').
- Watch Adrian Benedyczak's goal against Trabzonspor (55').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Kasımpaşa 1–1 Trabzonspor. Explore more on the Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor team pages or the Süper Lig page.