Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 16′Kocaelispor, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Amed, substitution:off
- 60′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 68′Amed, substitution:off
- 68′Amed, substitution:off
- 70′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 70′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 80′Amed, substitution:off
- 85′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 85′Kocaelispor, substitution:off
- 85′Amed, substitution:off
- 86′Amed, yellow card:Argument
- 86′Amed, yellow card:Argument
- 87′Kocaelispor, goal:2–0assist
- Full-time2 – 0
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Kocaelispor
Amed
Match report
Kocaelispor end poor run with 2-0 win over Amed
Kocaelispor beat Amed 2-0 in a Süper Lig Regular Season - 2 fixture at the Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, picking up their first win after a string of defeats in the league. Berkan Kutlu opened the scoring in the 16th minute, finishing off an assist from Anfernee Dijksteel to put the hosts ahead at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Amed pushed for an equaliser after the interval but could not find a way past the home defence, and the contest was settled late on when Matej Maglica added a second in the 87th minute, teed up by Uğur Yıldız. The goal came against the run of possession, with Amed holding 56 percent of the ball to Kocaelispor's 44, though the visitors could not convert that control into clear chances.
Kocaelispor were sharper in front of goal, registering 1.31 expected goals to Amed's 0.64 despite having fewer shots on target advantage was clear with three to one. The win lifts Kocaelispor to 11th in the table on three points from two games, level with Amed in 10th, as both sides continue to search for early-season consistency.
Emir Ortakaya earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.3 without registering a goal or assist, underlining a controlled display through the middle for Kocaelispor. Matej Maglica also impressed, capping his display with the late second goal.
Amed committed 16 fouls to Kocaelispor's nine, reflecting a more combative approach from the visitors as they chased the game.
Kocaelispor beat Amed 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Kocaelispor met Amed in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Monday, 24 August 2026, 18:30 UTC at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu. Referee: Umit Ozturk.
Team pages: Kocaelispor · Amed · Süper Lig
Key moments
- 16' Goal: Berkan Kutlu (assist: Anfernee Dijksteel) — 1–0 · Watch Berkan Kutlu's goal video (16')
- 87' Goal: Matej Maglica (assist: Uğur Yıldız) — 2–0 · Watch Matej Maglica's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Kocaelispor (4-1-4-1)
Amed (4-4-1-1)
- 40 Alban Lafont
- 5 Lumbardh Dellova
- 4 David Bates
- 21 Mehmet Yeşil (c)
- 7 Ermal Krasniqi
- 11 Yira Sor
- 6 Cem Üstündag
- 22 Rayan Raveloson
- 91 Dia Saba
- 10 Samuel Ballet
- 99 Gift Orban
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kocaelispor 32%, the draw 31%, Amed 37%. It finished Kocaelispor 2–0 Amed.
Amed's rating edge outweighs Kocaelispor's home ground — Amed are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Amed the lean. The draw at 31% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Amed at 37%?
Amed sit 174 points higher on our strength rating — 1471 to 1645. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,090 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Kocaelispor's column. Across 10,727 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–27–40.
Why only 37%?
Kocaelispor sit -0.34 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,380 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
Why the draw at 31%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,653. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Kocaelispor have shed 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.6% of 9,654 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Amed are newly promoted — game 2 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Kocaelispor vs Amed final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Süper Lig fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Kocaelispor 2–0 Amed. Explore more on the Kocaelispor and Amed team pages or the Süper Lig page.