Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 31′Flora Tallinn, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 61′The New Saints, substitution:off
- 61′The New Saints, substitution:E. Farrelloff
- 61′The New Saints, substitution:off
- 64′Flora Tallinn, substitution:off
- 69′Flora Tallinn, substitution:off
- 72′Flora Tallinn, substitution:I. Antonovoff
- 90+1′The New Saints, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Match report
Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints — the facts
Flora Tallinn beat The New Saints 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Flora Tallinn met The New Saints in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at A. Le Coq Arena. Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson.
Team pages: Flora Tallinn · The New Saints · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 31' Goal: Remo Valdmets (assist: Sergei Zenjov) — 1–0 · Watch Remo Valdmets's goal video (31')
Starting line-ups
Flora Tallinn (4-3-3)
The New Saints (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Flora Tallinn 33%, the draw 27%, The New Saints 40%. It finished Flora Tallinn 1–0 The New Saints.
The New Saints' rating edge outweighs Flora Tallinn's home ground — The New Saints are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of The New Saints' 40%. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why The New Saints at 40%?
The New Saints sit 182 points higher on our strength rating — 1163 to 1345. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,924 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 36–28–36.
Why only 40%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Flora Tallinn at 33%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,589.
What did we measure but not count?
Flora Tallinn have shed 68 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,518 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The New Saints have shed 127 strength-rating points over their last 10 games.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Flora Tallinn 1–0 The New Saints. Explore more on the Flora Tallinn and The New Saints team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.