Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 36′Paide, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 60′Zira, substitution:off
- 60′Zira, substitution:C. Digbeuoff
- 62′Paide, yellow card:
- 75′Zira, substitution:off
- 75′Zira, substitution:off
- 77′Zira, yellow card:
- 77′Paide, substitution:offM. P. Sohna
- 79′Paide, substitution:H. Anieroff
- 79′Paide, substitution:off
- 79′Paide, substitution:off
- 86′Paide, substitution:off
- 87′Paide, goal:1–0assistH. Anier
- 87′Zira, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Paide
Formation unavailable
Zira
Formation unavailable
Top Performers
Goal
Assist
1 assistVideos
Match report
Paide vs Zira — the facts
Paide beat Zira 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Paide met Zira in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at Parnu Rannastaadion. Referee: Roman Jitari.
Team pages: Paide · Zira · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 87' Goal: Pa Abdou Cham (assist: H. Anier) — 1–0 · Watch Pa Abdou Cham's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Paide
Zira
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Paide 21%, the draw 20%, Zira 59%. It finished Paide 1–0 Zira.
Zira's rating gap outweighs Paide's home ground — Zira are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Zira's 59%. The draw at 20% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Zira at 59%?
Zira sit 349 points higher on our strength rating — 1122 to 1471. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,127 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 23–22–55.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Paide at 21%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 21.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,701. The goals environment takes 1.8 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Paide have gained 64 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 11,979 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Paide (23 fully-tracked matches with us) and Zira (18) carry strength ratings anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Paide vs Zira final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Paide 1–0 Zira. Explore more on the Paide and Zira team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.