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Levski Sofia vs 22.07.26 17:301 – 0Full Time
Universitatea Craiova — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Levski Sofia beat Universitatea Craiova 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Levski Sofia met Universitatea Craiova in the UEFA Champions League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 22 July 2026, 17:30 UTC at Georgi Asparuhov Stadium. Referee: Adam Ladeback.
Team pages: Levski Sofia · Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League
Before kick-off Sirius gave Levski Sofia 38%, the draw 33%, Universitatea Craiova 29%. It finished Levski Sofia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova.
Home ground outweighs Universitatea Craiova's rating edge — Universitatea Craiova are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground plus Levski Sofia's control of the ball give Levski Sofia the lean. The draw at 33% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Home ground, against the rating. Universitatea Craiova sit 86 points higher on our strength rating — 1494 to 1580. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,423 such games. Levski Sofia hold 6 more possession points (49 to 43 in recent games) across a 86-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,529 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Because Universitatea Craiova are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 33% and Universitatea Craiova at 29%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,009. The goals environment adds 3.8 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
Universitatea Craiova have gained 67 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 11,977 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Levski Sofia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova. Explore more on the Levski Sofia and Universitatea Craiova team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.
Levski Sofia beat Universitatea Craiova 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Kristian Dimitrov (8') for Levski Sofia.
Goal highlights and video clips from Levski Sofia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Levski Sofia and Universitatea Craiova have met 1 time — 0 wins for Levski Sofia, 0 wins for Universitatea Craiova and 1 draw.