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Dynamo Kyiv vs 23.07.26 17:002 – 3Full Time
PAOK — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
PAOK won 3–2 away against Dynamo Kyiv (half-time 1–2).
Dynamo Kyiv met PAOK in the UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC at Valeriy Lobanovskyi. Referee: Sandi Putros.
Team pages: Dynamo Kyiv · PAOK · UEFA Europa League
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dynamo Kyiv 35%, the draw 25%, PAOK 40%. It finished Dynamo Kyiv 2–3 PAOK.
PAOK's rating edge outweighs Dynamo Kyiv's home ground — PAOK are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of PAOK's 40%. The draw at 25% is trimmed by a league that produces few draws.
PAOK sit 193 points higher on our strength rating — 1549 to 1742. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,924 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 26–23–51.
UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,370 games vs 44.9% across all 98,257 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,589. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off.
Dynamo Kyiv average 6 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 193 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Dynamo Kyiv scored +0.49 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,703 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.2% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dynamo Kyiv 2–3 PAOK. Explore more on the Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.
PAOK won 3–2 away against Dynamo Kyiv (half-time 1–2).
Volodymyr Brazhko (4') for Dynamo Kyiv; Giannis Konstantelias (13') for PAOK; Christos Zafeiris (38') for PAOK; Baptiste Santamaría (51') for PAOK; Justin Lonwijk (78') for Dynamo Kyiv.
Goal highlights and video clips from Dynamo Kyiv 2–3 PAOK are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK have met 1 time — 0 wins for Dynamo Kyiv, 1 win for PAOK and 0 draws.