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Kauno Žalgiris vs 11.08.26 17:001 – 2Full TimeAgg: 1 – 7
Dinamo Zagreb — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Dinamo Zagreb won 2-1 away to Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Champions League third qualifying round, despite being reduced to ten men before half-time. The result continued Zagreb's strong recent form after a run of wins and draws, while Kauno Žalgiris slipped to another defeat having lost their previous meeting with the same opponents 5-0.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Zagreb took control early, with Lukas Kačavenda converting an assist from Dion Beljo in the 19th minute to make it 0-1. Josip Mišić doubled the advantage on 30 minutes, and two minutes later Ivan Filipović was sent off, leaving Dinamo Zagreb to defend their two-goal cushion for almost the entire second half with ten men.
Kauno Žalgiris pushed for a way back and got one through Gabriel Debeljuh, who struck in the 56th minute to make it 1-2, but they could not find a leveller despite dominating possession. Zagreb saw out the remainder of the match to secure the win on the road under referee Davide Massa.
Mišić settled the contest with a well-timed second-half opener before the break, while Kačavenda opened the scoring after being set up by Beljo.
Kauno Žalgiris held 61% of possession but were unable to convert that dominance into victory against ten men.
Dinamo Zagreb won 2–1 away against Kauno Žalgiris (half-time 0–2).
Kauno Žalgiris met Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas. Referee: Davide Massa.
Team pages: Kauno Žalgiris · Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kauno Žalgiris 15%, the draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 68%. It finished Kauno Žalgiris 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb.
Dinamo Zagreb's rating gap outweighs Kauno Žalgiris' home ground — Dinamo Zagreb are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Dinamo Zagreb's 68%. The draw at 17% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Dinamo Zagreb sit 512 points higher on our strength rating — 1240 to 1751. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.8% of 5,165 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 14–17–69.
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Kauno Žalgiris at 15%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,760.
Dinamo Zagreb have shed 76 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,594 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Kauno Žalgiris have 22 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Kauno Žalgiris 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb. Explore more on the Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.
Dinamo Zagreb won 2–1 away against Kauno Žalgiris (half-time 0–2).
Lukas Kačavenda (19') for Dinamo Zagreb; Josip Mišić (30') for Dinamo Zagreb; Gabriel Debeljuh (56') for Kauno Žalgiris.
Goal highlights and video clips from Kauno Žalgiris 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb have met 1 time — 0 wins for Kauno Žalgiris, 1 win for Dinamo Zagreb and 0 draws.