Rapid Vienna vs Paide — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsSK RapidYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 37′Rapid Vienna, yellow card:Foul
- 38′Rapid Vienna, goal:1–0assist
- 38′Rapid Vienna, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Paide, substitution:off
- 63′Rapid Vienna, substitution:off
- 63′Rapid Vienna, substitution:off
- 63′Rapid Vienna, substitution:off
- 68′Paide, substitution:off
- 68′Paide, substitution:off
- 74′Rapid Vienna, substitution:off
- 74′Rapid Vienna, yellow card:Foul
- 79′Rapid Vienna, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 81′Paide, yellow card:Argument
- 82′Rapid Vienna, penalty goal:2–0Penalty
- 84′Paide, substitution:off
- 84′Paide, substitution:off
- 84′Rapid Vienna, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Rapid Vienna
4-4-2
Paide
4-3-3
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Videos
Player Ratings
Rapid Vienna
Paide
Match report
Rapid Vienna ease past Paide in Conference League qualifier
Rapid Vienna secured a 2-0 win over Paide at Allianz Stadion in the third qualifying round of the UEFA Europa Conference League. Marco Tilio opened the scoring in the 38th minute, converting a chance created by Nikolaus Wurmbrand, and that goal proved enough to see the home side into the break with a firm grip on the tie.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Rapid Vienna dominated for long spells, and the pressure eventually told again when Louis Schaub stepped up to convert a penalty in the 82nd minute, doubling the lead to 2-0. Paide struggled to create meaningful openings throughout, managing just a couple of efforts across the ninety minutes as Rapid Vienna controlled possession and territory almost from the first whistle.
The result continued Rapid Vienna's strong recent form, while Paide's away struggles persisted despite periods of solid form domestically. Referee Denys Shurman booked two players from each side, but neither team saw a man sent off as the contest passed without serious controversy.
Wurmbrand set up Tilio's opening goal and finished with a rating of 7.9, the joint-highest of the match alongside Paide's Jarju. Schaub also impressed, converting the second-half penalty that put the result beyond doubt.
Rapid Vienna's dominance was reflected in a 66% to 34% possession split, underlining their control throughout the qualifier.
Rapid Vienna beat Paide 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Rapid Vienna met Paide in the UEFA Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 12 August 2026, 16:00 UTC at Allianz Stadion. Referee: Denys Shurman.
Team pages: Rapid Vienna · Paide · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 38' Goal: Marco Tilio (assist: Nikolaus Wurmbrand) — 1–0 · Watch Marco Tilio's goal video (38')
- 82' Goal (penalty): Louis Schaub — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Rapid Vienna (4-4-2)
Paide (4-3-3)
- 99 Ebrima Jarju
- 2 Michael Lilander
- 3 Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sá
- 27 Nikita Baranov
- 15 Hindrek Ojamaa
- 10 Martin Miller
- 28 Oskar Hõim (c)
- 11 M. P. Sohna
- 11 Pa Modou Sohna
- 6 Daniel Cabral
- 9 Henri Anier
- 77 Daniel Luts
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rapid Vienna 83%, the draw 10%, Paide 7%. It finished Rapid Vienna 2–0 Paide.
Rapid Vienna's rating gap decides it — Rapid Vienna are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Rapid Vienna's 83%. The draw at 10% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Rapid Vienna at 83%?
Rapid Vienna sit 495 points higher on our strength rating — 1632 to 1137. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.7% of 5,059 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 83–10–7.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 83% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 10% and Paide at 7%.
Why is the draw only 10%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 10.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,891.
What did we measure but not count?
Rapid Vienna's last five: W-W-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2180 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3988 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rapid Vienna vs Paide final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rapid Vienna 2–0 Paide. Explore more on the Rapid Vienna and Paide team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.