Rīgas FS vs 13.08.26 16:301 – 2Full TimeAgg: 1 – 4
FK Jablonec — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Jablonec holds off Rīgas FS despite late red card
Rīgas FS lost 2-1 to FK Jablonec at LNK Sporta Parks in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, a result that left the Czech side firmly in control despite the hosts dominating for long spells. The visitors moved quickly into a two-goal cushion inside the opening half-hour, and although Rīgas FS hit back before the interval, they could not find an equaliser across the remaining hour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jablonec struck early through Richard Sedláček, who converted an assist from Matěj Polidar in the fourth minute. Sebastian Nebyla doubled the lead from the penalty spot on 22 minutes to make it 0-2. Rīgas FS responded before half-time when Žiga Lipušček, set up by Dmitrijs Zelenkovs, pulled one back in the 38th minute, and the score stood at 1-2 at the break.
The second half produced no further goals, though Rīgas FS's task grew harder when Aleksandar Filipović was shown a red card in the 83rd minute, leaving the hosts to see out the closing stages with ten men. Rīgas FS held the greater share of possession and produced more efforts on target, but Jablonec's early efficiency in front of goal proved decisive.
Rīgas FS had 58% of possession and eight shots on target to Jablonec's two, yet still finished on the losing side.
FK Jablonec won 2–1 away against Rīgas FS (half-time 1–2).
Rīgas FS met FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 13 August 2026, 16:30 UTC at LNK Sporta Parks. Referee: I. Frid.
Team pages: Rīgas FS · FK Jablonec · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Richard Sedláček (assist: Matěj Polidar) — 0–1 · Watch Richard Sedláček's goal video (4')
- 22' Goal (penalty): Sebastian Nebyla — 0–2 · Watch Sebastian Nebyla's goal video (22')
- 38' Goal: Žiga Lipušček (assist: Dmitrijs Zelenkovs) — 1–2 · Watch Žiga Lipušček's goal video (38')
- 83' Red card: Aleksandar Filipović
Starting line-ups
Rīgas FS (4-2-3-1)
FK Jablonec (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rīgas FS 24%, the draw 25%, FK Jablonec 51%. It finished Rīgas FS 1–2 FK Jablonec.
FK Jablonec's rating gap outweighs Rīgas FS' home ground — FK Jablonec are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of FK Jablonec's 51%. The draw at 25% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why FK Jablonec at 51%?
FK Jablonec sit 266 points higher on our strength rating — 1338 to 1605. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,014 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 25–24–51.
Why only 51%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 51% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Rīgas FS at 24%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,543. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FK Jablonec average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 266 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Richard Sedláček's goal against Rīgas FS (4').
- Watch Sebastian Nebyla's goal against Rīgas FS (22').
- Watch Žiga Lipušček's goal against FK Jablonec (38').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rīgas FS 1–2 FK Jablonec. Explore more on the Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.