Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 34′Monza, goal:0–1
- 37′Monza, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 38′Torino, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Monza, goal:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 56′Torino, substitution:off
- 56′Torino, substitution:off
- 64′Torino, substitution:off
- 64′Torino, substitution:off
- 70′Monza, substitution:off
- 70′Monza, substitution:off
- 76′Monza, substitution:off
- 76′Monza, substitution:off
- 76′Monza, substitution:off
- 79′Torino, substitution:off
- 80′Monza, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Monza, substitution:off
- 90′Torino, goal:Goal
- 90+6′Torino, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- Full-time0 – 1
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Torino
Monza
Match report
Torino vs Monza — the facts
Monza won 1–0 away against Torino (half-time 0–1).
Torino met Monza in the Coppa Italia (Round of 32). Kick-off was Tuesday, 1 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadio Olimpico di Torino. Referee: Daniele Perenzoni.
Team pages: Torino · Monza · Coppa Italia
Key moments
- 34' Goal: Dany Mota — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Torino (5-3-2)
Monza (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Torino 53%, the draw 24%, Monza 23%. It finished Torino 0–1 Monza.
A slight rating edge to Torino, little else — Torino are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Monza's hot finishing due to cool on top gives Torino the lean. The draw at 24% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Torino at 53%?
Torino sit 81 points higher on our strength rating — 1697 to 1616. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,408 such games. Monza scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.0% of 1,471 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Monza at 23%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,942. The cool-off factor takes 1.9 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Monza are missing their first-choice keeper and 1 more regular starter — Demba Thiam, Matteo Pessina — about 26% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. Last 6 between them: Torino 3 wins, 3 draws, Monza 0 wins. Most recently Monza 0–2 Torino, 2 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5070 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Torino vs Monza final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Coppa Italia fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Torino 0–1 Monza. Explore more on the Torino and Monza team pages or the Coppa Italia page.