Cagliari vs Hellas Verona — Coppa Italia: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow3 clips- 23′Hellas Verona, goal:0–1
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 46′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 46′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 57′Cagliari, goal:1–1assist
- 58′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 58′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 63′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 63′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 64′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 66′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Foul
- 68′Cagliari, yellow card:Foul
- 68′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 73′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 87′Hellas Verona, goal:1–2
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Match report
Hellas Verona edge Cagliari in Coppa Italia thriller
Hellas Verona came from behind to beat Cagliari 2-1 in the Coppa Italia round of 32 at the Unipol Domus, with a late strike from Samuele Mulattieri settling a match that swung back and forth in the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Abdoulrahmane Harroui put the away side ahead in the 23rd minute, and Verona held that lead into the break. Cagliari responded after the interval when P. Mendy converted an Alieu Fadera assist in the 57th minute to level the score at 1-1, setting up a tense finish.
Mulattieri struck in the 87th minute to restore Verona's advantage and prove decisive, sealing a 2-1 win despite Cagliari dominating possession and territory for long spells of the contest.
Harroui opened the scoring for Verona and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.2, while Mulattieri's late winner also earned him a standout mark of 7.93.
Cagliari held 61% of possession but could not convert their control into a winning margin.
Hellas Verona won 2–1 away against Cagliari (half-time 0–1).
Cagliari met Hellas Verona in the Coppa Italia (Round of 32). Kick-off was Thursday, 3 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at Unipol Domus. Referee: Andrea Zanotti.
Team pages: Cagliari · Hellas Verona · Coppa Italia
Key moments
- 23' Goal: Abdou Harroui — 0–1 · Watch Abdou Harroui's goal video (23')
- 57' Goal: P. Mendy (assist: Alieu Fadera) — 1–1 · Watch P. Mendy's goal video (57')
- 87' Goal: Samuele Mulattieri — 1–2 · Watch Samuele Mulattieri's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Cagliari (4-2-3-1)
Hellas Verona (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cagliari 72%, the draw 18%, Hellas Verona 10%. It finished Cagliari 1–2 Hellas Verona.
A cup tie across divisions decides it for Cagliari — Cagliari are the stronger side on our strength rating, and a cup tie across divisions plus their cold finishing due to recover on top make it one-sided for Cagliari. The draw at 18% is cut by the cup-tie effect.
Why Cagliari at 72%?
Cagliari sit 184 points higher on our strength rating — 1688 to 1504. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,769 such games. A cup tie across divisions: Cagliari carry a 184-point rating edge over Hellas Verona, who play their league football in a division below. Ratings compress across divisions — a favorite like this is usually better than its number. Higher-division cup favorites won 77.3% of 1,311 such ties where the class table expected 59.7% — positive in every recent season, and it passed our walked forward test before earning points. Cagliari sit -0.30 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,410 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 58–28–14.
Why not higher?
Hellas Verona sit -0.62 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,410 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,168. Cup ties across divisions take 9.5 points off the draw. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Cagliari have gained 66 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,288 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: Cagliari 3 wins, 2 draws, Hellas Verona 1 win. Most recently Cagliari 4–0 Hellas Verona, 7 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5073 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cagliari vs Hellas Verona final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Coppa Italia fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Abdou Harroui's goal against Cagliari (23').
- Watch P. Mendy's goal against Hellas Verona (57').
- Watch Samuele Mulattieri's goal against Cagliari (87').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Cagliari 1–2 Hellas Verona. Explore more on the Cagliari and Hellas Verona team pages or the Coppa Italia page.