Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 11′Celta Vigo, goal:1–0assist
- 35′Union St. Gilloise, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 49′Union St. Gilloise, goal:1–2assist
- 60′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 60′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 66′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 66′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 71′Union St. Gilloise, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 78′Union St. Gilloise, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 80′Union St. Gilloise, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 81′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 81′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 81′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 81′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 81′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 86′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 90+5′Celta Vigo, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Celta Vigo
Union St. Gilloise
Match report
Zeneli double lifts Union St. Gilloise to win at Celta Vigo
Union St. Gilloise came from behind to beat Celta Vigo 2-1 at Municipal de Balaídos on matchday 4 of the Europa League league stage. Besfort Zeneli scored both goals for the visitors, who extended their winning run to five games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Celta took the lead in the 11th minute when Pablo Durán finished a move created by Sergio Carreira. The visitors drew level in the 35th minute, Zeneli converting from an Adem Zorgane assist, and the sides went in at 1-1.
Zeneli struck again four minutes after the restart, in the 49th minute, this time set up by Kevin Rodríguez, and Union held that advantage to the end. Celta had 58% of the possession and won 11 corners to one, but the Belgian side's chances were the better ones.
Union St. Gilloise are now unbeaten in 14 games. Both sides are next in action on Sunday: Union host Genk in the Jupiler Pro League, while Celta welcome Levante in La Liga.
Zeneli took the match rating of 8.92 with two goals, the first from Zorgane's assist and the second from Rodríguez's. Durán's opener earned him 7.92 in a losing cause.
Celta had 11 corners to Union's one, yet their expected goals figure of 1.11 trailed Union's 2.06.
Union St. Gilloise won 2–1 away against Celta Vigo (half-time 1–1).
Celta Vigo met Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 4). Kick-off was Thursday, 5 November 2026, 20:00 UTC at Municipal de Balaídos. Referee: Äliyar Ağayev.
Team pages: Celta Vigo · Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Pablo Durán (assist: Sergio Carreira) — 1–0 · Watch Pablo Durán's goal video (11')
- 35' Goal: Besfort Zeneli (assist: Adem Zorgane) — 1–1 · Watch Besfort Zeneli's goal video (35')
- 49' Goal: Besfort Zeneli (assist: Kevin Rodríguez) — 1–2 · Watch Besfort Zeneli's goal video (49')
Starting line-ups
Celta Vigo (3-4-3)
Union St. Gilloise (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Celta Vigo 27%, the draw 22%, Union St. Gilloise 51%. It finished Celta Vigo 1–2 Union St. Gilloise.
Union St. Gilloise lead on strength, Celta home edge pulls back — Union St. Gilloise sit 163 points higher on our strength rating, 1825 to 1663, which is why we give them 51%, though strong home advantage in the UEFA Europa League pulls some way back for Celta Vigo. The draw starts at 25% for a gap this size and falls to 22%, lowered mainly by the competition's usual draw rate and slightly by the teams' 2.9-goal recent games.
Why Union St. Gilloise at 51%?
Union St. Gilloise sit 163 points higher on our strength rating — 1825 to 1663. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.5% of 7,220 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 27–25–48.
Why only 51%?
UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.3% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 46.9% of 4,493 games vs 44.6% across all 108,407 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,348. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
Union St. Gilloise scored +0.84 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,259 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 40.9% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last five: Celta Vigo L-W-W-D-L, Union St. Gilloise D-W-W-W-W — Union St. Gilloise are clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 19 on 90-minute results, all competitions (12 wins, 7 draws), a run going back to May 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.0% of 2059 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3979 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Pablo Durán's goal against Union St. Gilloise (11').
- Watch Besfort Zeneli's goal against Celta Vigo (35').
- Watch Besfort Zeneli's goal against Celta Vigo (49').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Celta Vigo 1–2 Union St. Gilloise. Explore more on the Celta Vigo and Union St. Gilloise team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.