Dinamo Zagreb vs 22.10.26 16:452 – 4Full Time
NEC Nijmegen — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow5 clips- 23′Dinamo Zagreb, yellow card:Foul
- 25′NEC Nijmegen, goal:0–1assist
- 33′Dinamo Zagreb, goal:1–1assist
- 36′Dinamo Zagreb, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 37′Dinamo Zagreb, goal:2–1
- 43′NEC Nijmegen, yellow card:Foul
- 45′NEC Nijmegen, goal:2–2assist
- Half-time2 – 2
- 54′NEC Nijmegen, goal:2–3assist
- 59′Dinamo Zagreb, substitution:off
- 67′Dinamo Zagreb, substitution:off
- 67′Dinamo Zagreb, substitution:off
- 76′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 76′Dinamo Zagreb, substitution:off
- 76′Dinamo Zagreb, substitution:off
- 80′NEC Nijmegen, goal:2–4
- 81′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 81′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 90′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 90′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 90+2′NEC Nijmegen, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 4
Lineups
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Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
Match report
NEC Nijmegen win six-goal contest at Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen came from behind to beat Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 at Stadion Maksimir in the League Stage of the UEFA Europa League, matchday 3. The result ended a run of 8 games without a win for the Dutch side, who had drawn four of their previous five matches.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Clement Bischoff gave NEC the lead in the 25th minute, set up by Noé Lebreton. Dion Drena Beljo, assisted by Matteo Pérez Vinlöf, levelled in the 33rd minute and scored again four minutes later to put the hosts 2-1 ahead. Bryan Linssen, played in by Bischoff, pulled NEC level in the 45th minute, so the sides went in at 2-2.
NEC took control after the restart. Tjaronn Chery converted Linssen's assist in the 54th minute to make it 3-2, and he added a fourth in the 80th minute to settle the match. Dinamo had the greater share of the ball and the better of the shooting, but could not find a way back.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given NEC Nijmegen a 23% chance of winning. NEC next host Groningen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October, while Dinamo travel to Rudes in the HNL on Saturday 31 October.
Bryan Linssen was the top-rated performer with a rating of 9.07, scoring NEC's equaliser on the stroke of half-time and providing the pass for Chery's second-half goal. Dion Drena Beljo scored both of Dinamo's goals in a losing cause.
Dinamo Zagreb put 10 of their 16 shots on target but scored only twice, while NEC's five on target from 15 attempts brought four goals.
NEC Nijmegen won 4–2 away against Dinamo Zagreb (half-time 2–2).
Dinamo Zagreb met NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Stadion Maksimir. Referee: Manfredas Lukjancukas.
Team pages: Dinamo Zagreb · NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 25' Goal: Clement Bischoff (assist: Noé Lebreton) — 0–1 · Watch Clement Bischoff's goal video (25')
- 33' Goal: Dion Drena Beljo (assist: Matteo Pérez Vinlöf) — 1–1 · Watch Dion Drena Beljo's goal video (33')
- 37' Goal: Dion Drena Beljo — 2–1 · Watch Dion Drena Beljo's goal video (37')
- 45' Goal: Bryan Linssen (assist: Clement Bischoff) — 2–2 · Watch Bryan Linssen's goal video (45')
- 54' Goal: Tjaronn Chery (assist: Bryan Linssen) — 2–3 · Watch Tjaronn Chery's goal video (54')
- 80' Goal: Tjaronn Chery — 2–4
Starting line-ups
Dinamo Zagreb (4-1-4-1)
NEC Nijmegen (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Dinamo Zagreb 54%, the draw 23%, NEC Nijmegen 23%. It finished Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen.
Strength rating gives Dinamo Zagreb a slight lean — We give Dinamo Zagreb 54% mainly because our strength rating has them a shade stronger, 1608 to 1538, and home sides in the UEFA Europa League tend to do better than usual. The draw starts at 27% for a gap this size but falls to 23%, lowered by the competition's usual draw rate and both teams' high-scoring recent games.
Why Dinamo Zagreb at 54%?
Dinamo Zagreb sit 70 points higher on our strength rating — 1608 to 1538. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,423 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,474 games vs 44.6% across all 101,492 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 54%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 54% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and NEC Nijmegen at 23%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 17,081. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
NEC Nijmegen have shed 71 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,632 such games vs 33.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Out: Dušan Tadić, an important player, Philippe Sandler, a rotation player, and Ayodele Thomas, on a provisional rating. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Clement Bischoff's goal against Dinamo Zagreb (25').
- Watch Dion Drena Beljo's goal against NEC Nijmegen (33').
- Watch Dion Drena Beljo's goal against NEC Nijmegen (37').
- Watch Bryan Linssen's goal against Dinamo Zagreb (45').
- Watch Tjaronn Chery's goal against Dinamo Zagreb (54').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen. Explore more on the Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.