Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 40′Paredes, goal:1–0
- Half-time1 – 0
- 56′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 56′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 56′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 58′Famalicao, yellow card:
- 65′Paredes, substitution:off
- 65′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 67′Paredes, yellow card:
- 72′Paredes, yellow card:
- 73′Paredes, substitution:off
- 86′Paredes, substitution:off
- 86′Paredes, substitution:off
- 90′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 90+5′Famalicao, yellow card:
- 90+5′Famalicao, yellow card:
- 90+5′Famalicao, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Paredes
Formation unavailable
Famalicao
Formation unavailable
Key Stats
Top Performers
Goal
Videos
Match report
Paredes edge Famalicao 1-0 to reach Taça de Portugal last 32
Paredes beat Famalicao 1-0 at the Municipal das Laranjeiras in the Round of 64 of the Taça de Portugal, Miguel's goal on 40 minutes separating the sides in a tie that finished with a single goal.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Miguel struck in the 40th minute to move the home side in front, and that proved the only goal of the afternoon. The scoreline was still 1-0 at half-time and nothing was added after the restart, leaving Famalicao, managed by Carlos Carvalhal, without a reply.
Paredes went into the tie after beating Ermesinde 3-1 away and Maria da Fonte 5-1 at home. Famalicao arrived on the back of a 4-1 home defeat to Alverca, having drawn three of their previous five games and won 4-0 at Nacional in between.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Paredes a 16% chance of winning. Famalicao now return to league action, travelling to Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 October.
Paredes beat Famalicao 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Paredes met Famalicao in the Taça de Portugal (Round of 64). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 18:30 UTC at Municipal das Laranjeiras.
Team pages: Paredes · Famalicao · Taça de Portugal
Key moments
- 40' Goal: Miguel — 1–0 · Watch Miguel's goal video (40')
Starting line-ups
Paredes
Famalicao
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Paredes 16%, the draw 22%, Famalicao 62%. It finished Paredes 1–0 Famalicao.
Famalicao's strength edge drives a clear lead — Our strength rating puts Famalicao 238 points above Paredes, 1569 to 1331, and this cup tie across divisions adds to their edge, so we give them 62%. The draw starts at 26%, the usual rate for a gap this size, then drops to 22% because both sides' recent games average 3.2 goals and cup ties lower it too.
Why Famalicao at 62%?
Famalicao sit 238 points higher on our strength rating — 1569 to 1331. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,700 such games. A cup tie across divisions: Famalicao carry a 238-point rating edge over Paredes, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. Paredes have fewer than 25 rated matches, and their strength estimate began at our default starting value. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–26–53.
Why only 62%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 62% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Paredes at 16%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw. Cup ties across divisions take 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Paredes arrive with 9 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Famalicao bring a 263-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Paredes vs Famalicao final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Taça de Portugal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Paredes 1–0 Famalicao. Explore more on the Paredes and Famalicao team pages or the Taça de Portugal page.