CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca — Taça de Portugal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 22′Arouca, goal:0–1
- 26′Arouca, substitution:off
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′CF Os Belenenses, substitution:off
- 49′CF Os Belenenses, goal:1–1
- 62′Arouca, substitution:off
- 62′Arouca, substitution:off
- 62′Arouca, substitution:off
- 73′CF Os Belenenses, yellow card:
- 73′Arouca, yellow card:
- 76′CF Os Belenenses, goal:2–1
- 81′Arouca, substitution:off
- 85′CF Os Belenenses, substitution:off
- 85′CF Os Belenenses, substitution:off
- 85′CF Os Belenenses, substitution:off
- 87′Arouca, goal:2–2
- 90′Arouca, goal:2–3
- 90′CF Os Belenenses, goal:3–3
- 90+2′CF Os Belenenses, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 3
- 105′Arouca, goal:3–4
- Half-time · E.T.3 – 4
- 106′CF Os Belenenses, substitution:off
- 112′Arouca, substitution:off
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
CF Os Belenenses
Formation unavailable
Arouca
Formation unavailable
Key Stats
Top Performers
Goals
Match report
Arouca edge CF Os Belenenses 4-3 after extra time in Taça de Portugal
Arouca won a seven-goal Taça de Portugal Round of 64 tie 4-3 after extra time at CF Os Belenenses, the visitors going through after the match finished level at 3-3 following 90 minutes. Fally Mayulu scored the decisive goal in the 105th minute.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Barbero put Arouca ahead in the 21st minute and they led 1-0 at half-time. Cesinha levelled for CF Os Belenenses four minutes after the restart, in the 49th minute, and Bruninho turned the game around in the 76th minute to make it 2-1.
The closing stages brought the real drama. Brian Mansilla equalised in the 87th minute and struck again in the 90th to put Arouca 3-2 in front, only for David Monteiro to answer for CF Os Belenenses in the same minute and make it 3-3. That forced extra time, in which neither side scored until Mayulu's winner.
Arouca had won two of their previous five games, including a 1-0 home victory over Estrela in their last outing. CF Os Belenenses had come into the tie on the back of a 2-0 win away to Beira-Mar.
Brian Mansilla scored twice for Arouca, in the 87th and 90th minutes, to drag the visitors back from 2-1 down and briefly put them in front.
Arouca won 4–3 away against CF Os Belenenses (half-time 0–1).
CF Os Belenenses met Arouca in the Taça de Portugal (Round of 64). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Team pages: CF Os Belenenses · Arouca · Taça de Portugal
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Barbero — 0–1
- 49' Goal: Cesinha — 1–1
- 76' Goal: Bruninho — 2–1
- 87' Goal: Brian Mansilla — 2–2
- 90' Goal: Brian Mansilla — 2–3
- 90' Goal: David Monteiro — 3–3
- 105' Goal: Fally Mayulu — 3–4
Starting line-ups
CF Os Belenenses
- 33 Chamito
- 4 Nuno Tomás
- 15 João Lucas
- 23 Bruninho
- 95 Diego
- 66 Cesinha
- 14 A. Afonso
- 17 Diogo Leitão
- 21 T. Morgado
- 58 David Monteiro
- 8 J. Herrera
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave CF Os Belenenses 17%, the draw 24%, Arouca 59%. It finished CF Os Belenenses 3–3 Arouca.
Arouca's strength edge leads this cup tie — Arouca sit 190 points higher on our strength rating, 1547 to 1357, and the cup tie across divisions adds to that edge, so we give them 59% despite CF Os Belenenses having home advantage. The draw sits at 24%, just under the usual 25% for a gap this size, as the cup-tie setting trims it slightly.
Why Arouca at 59%?
Arouca sit 190 points higher on our strength rating — 1547 to 1357. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,700 such games. A cup tie across divisions: Arouca carry a 190-point rating edge over CF Os Belenenses, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. CF Os Belenenses have fewer than 25 rated matches, and their strength estimate began at our default starting value. The 300 most similar past games finished 26–24–50.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and CF Os Belenenses at 17%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,356. Cup ties across divisions take 2.1 points off the draw. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Arouca scored +0.47 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,855 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Arouca have gained 70 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,231 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Taça de Portugal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the CF Os Belenenses and Arouca team pages or the Taça de Portugal page.