Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga — Eliteserien: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsTV 2 SportYouTubeMatch Events
- 46′Bodo/Glimt, substitution:off
- 49′Valerenga, yellow card:Dissent
- 54′Bodo/Glimt, yellow card:Foul
- 58′Valerenga, substitution:off
- 65′Valerenga, goal:0–1assist
- 66′Valerenga, substitution:off
- 66′Bodo/Glimt, substitution:off
- 66′Bodo/Glimt, substitution:off
- 73′Bodo/Glimt, substitution:off
- 78′Valerenga, substitution:off
- 78′Valerenga, substitution:off
- 82′Valerenga, yellow card:Time wasting
- 89′Valerenga, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Bodo/Glimt, substitution:off
- 90+5′Valerenga, yellow card:Time wasting
- Full-time0 – 1
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Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
Match report
Valerenga stun Bodo/Glimt with Haren winner at Aspmyra Stadion
Valerenga won 1-0 away to Bodo/Glimt in Eliteserien on matchday 12, a result that cut the leaders' lead at the top. Lucas Haren scored the only goal of the afternoon at Aspmyra Stadion in the 65th minute, finishing after a pass from Mathias Grundetjern. The first half ended goalless, with neither side able to find a way through.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bodo/Glimt had by far the greater share of the game. They held 69% of possession and had 26 shots to Valerenga's 13, with 10 corners to 3. Yet the shots on target were closer, at eight to six, and the visitors made the decisive moment count with a single clean strike.
Valerenga had gone into the match 11th in the table, ten places below the leaders and 30 points behind them. The win lifted them to eighth on 29 points, while Bodo/Glimt, who had won all five of their previous home league games, dropped to second on 56. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Valerenga a 4% chance of winning. Valerenga next host Tromso in Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November, while Bodo/Glimt are at home to Viking on Friday 30 October.
Oscar Hedvall was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 8.69 for Valerenga, with Haren, who scored the winner, rated 7.89. Bodo/Glimt's Nikita Haikin earned 7.82 for his work in defeat.
Bodo/Glimt had 69% of the possession but failed to turn it into a goal, while Valerenga had just 31%.
Valerenga won 1–0 away against Bodo/Glimt (half-time 0–0).
Bodo/Glimt met Valerenga in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Aspmyra Stadion. Referee: Tore Hansen.
Team pages: Bodo/Glimt · Valerenga · Eliteserien
Key moments
- 65' Goal: Lucas Haren (assist: Mathias Grundetjern) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Bodo/Glimt (4-4-2)
Valerenga (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bodo/Glimt 87%, the draw 9%, Valerenga 4%. It finished Bodo/Glimt 0–1 Valerenga.
A big strength gap makes Bodo/Glimt clear favourites — We give Bodo/Glimt 87% mainly because they sit 386 points higher on our strength rating, 1811 to 1426, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw starts near 10%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and dips to 9% because both teams' own recent games average 4.1 goals.
Why Bodo/Glimt at 87%?
Bodo/Glimt sit 386 points higher on our strength rating — 1811 to 1426. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,955 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 89–8–3.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 87% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 9% and Valerenga at 4%.
Why is the draw only 9%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 9.7%. These teams' recent games average 4.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375.
What did we measure but not count?
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 12 percentage points more possession than Valerenga in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Bodo/Glimt are unbeaten in their last 8 home Eliteserien games: 8 wins and 0 draws. The run began on 16 May 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 4 May 2026 — Bodo/Glimt 0–1 Molde. Latest home league result: 10 October 2026 — Bodo/Glimt 3–1 Kristiansund BK. Across 16,094 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eliteserien fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bodo/Glimt 0–1 Valerenga. Explore more on the Bodo/Glimt and Valerenga team pages or the Eliteserien page.