HighlightsTV 2 SportYouTubeMatch Events
- 2′Molde, yellow card:Foul
- 8′Fredrikstad, goal:0–1assist
- 11′Molde, goal:1–1assist
- 17′Molde, goal:2–1assist
- 35′Molde, goal:3–1assist
- Half-time3 – 1
- 53′Fredrikstad, yellow card:Foul
- 59′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 59′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 60′Molde, goal:4–1assist
- 63′Molde, goal:5–1assist
- 64′Molde, substitution:off
- 64′Molde, substitution:off
- 67′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 67′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 70′Molde, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Molde, substitution:off
- 75′Molde, substitution:off
- 78′Molde, substitution:off
- 82′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- Full-time5 – 1
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Molde
Fredrikstad
Match report
K. Lonebu scores four as Molde thrash Fredrikstad 5-1
Molde beat Fredrikstad 5-1 at Aker Stadion in Eliteserien matchday 12, with K. Lonebu scoring four times. The visitors had taken the lead through Bryan Fiabema in the eighth minute, set up by Sondre Sørløkk, but that advantage lasted only three minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
K. Lonebu levelled in the 11th minute from Sander Kilen's assist and put Molde ahead six minutes later, this time after a pass from Mathias Løvik. Emil Breivik made it 3-1 in the 35th minute, finishing a move created by Martin Linnes, and the home side took a two-goal lead into the interval.
Molde stretched their advantage after the restart. K. Lonebu scored his third in the 60th minute, with Sondre Granaas providing the assist, and completed the scoring in the 63rd when Breivik set him up. Molde had 62 per cent of possession and moved to 43 points, third in the table, 14 clear of 11th-placed Fredrikstad, who are now without a win in 6 games.
Fredrikstad host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Saturday 31 October, while Molde travel to Brann the following day.
K. Lonebu scored four of Molde's five goals, in the 11th, 17th, 60th and 63rd minutes, and earned a rating of 9.92. Breivik also scored once and set up another, rated 9.0.
Molde put 10 of their 19 shots on target, to six from 14 for Fredrikstad.
Molde beat Fredrikstad 5–1 (half-time 3–1).
Molde met Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:15 UTC at Aker Stadion. Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen.
Team pages: Molde · Fredrikstad · Eliteserien
Key moments
- 8' Goal: Bryan Fiabema (assist: Sondre Sørløkk) — 0–1
- 11' Goal: K. Lonebu (assist: Sander Kilen) — 1–1
- 17' Goal: K. Lonebu (assist: Mathias Løvik) — 2–1
- 35' Goal: Emil Breivik (assist: Martin Linnes) — 3–1
- 60' Goal: K. Lonebu (assist: Sondre Granaas) — 4–1
- 63' Goal: K. Lonebu (assist: Emil Breivik) — 5–1
Starting line-ups
Molde (4-2-3-1)
Fredrikstad (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Molde 60%, the draw 23%, Fredrikstad 17%. It finished Molde 5–1 Fredrikstad.
Molde's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Molde 60% mainly because they sit 85 points higher on our strength rating, 1557 to 1472, and their habit of controlling the ball, 62% possession to 50% in recent games, adds to that. The draw sits at 23%, a little below the usual 25% for a gap this size, because both sides' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why Molde at 60%?
Molde sit 85 points higher on our strength rating — 1557 to 1472. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,340 such games. Molde hold 12 more possession points (62 to 50 in recent games) across a 85-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,307 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–23–24.
Why only 60%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 60% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Fredrikstad at 17%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,416. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Molde scored +0.48 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,170 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Out: Sivert Hansen and Eirik Hestad, important players, and Vebjørn Hoff and Halldor Stenevik, rotation players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Molde vs Fredrikstad final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eliteserien fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Molde 5–1 Fredrikstad. Explore more on the Molde and Fredrikstad team pages or the Eliteserien page.