HighlightsTV 2 SportYouTubeMatch Events
- 23′Lillestrom, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 53′Lillestrom, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Brann, yellow card:Foul
- 58′Brann, substitution:off
- 60′Brann, goal:1–1
- 64′Lillestrom, goal:2–1assist
- 69′Brann, substitution:off
- 69′Brann, substitution:off
- 70′Lillestrom, substitution:off
- 71′Lillestrom, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Brann, substitution:off
- 79′Lillestrom, substitution:off
- 79′Lillestrom, substitution:off
- 80′Lillestrom, goal:3–1assist
- 86′Brann, goal:3–2assist
- 90+4′Lillestrom, yellow card:Time wasting
- 90+4′Lillestrom, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 2
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Lillestrom
Brann
Match report
Lillestrom hold off Brann fightback to win five-goal Eliteserien game
Lillestrom beat Brann 3-2 at Åråsen Stadion in Eliteserien matchday 12, withstanding a late scare after leading by two goals. The result lifted the hosts from sixth to sixth on 39 points after 24 games, while Brann stayed on 29 points and slipped from seventh to ninth.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Fredrik Gulbrandsen broke the deadlock in the 23rd minute, converting a chance created by G. Nyheim, and Lillestrom took a 1-0 lead into the interval. Kristian Eriksen levelled for Brann in the 60th minute, but the equaliser lasted only four minutes. Vá put the hosts back in front in the 64th minute from a Lars Ranger assist.
Vá added his second of the afternoon in the 80th minute, again set up by Nyheim, to make it 3-1. Brann refused to fold and Noah Holm pulled one back in the 86th minute, assisted by Kristall Ingason, but Lillestrom saw out the closing stages. Brann had 70 per cent of the ball against 30 for the hosts, yet Lillestrom edged the shots 16 to 14.
Lillestrom travel to Start on Sunday 1 November in Eliteserien, the same day Brann host Molde in the league.
Vá scored twice, in the 64th and 80th minutes, to turn a level game in Lillestrom's favour, and earned a rating of 9.01. Nyheim supplied two assists, for Gulbrandsen's opener and Vá's second.
Brann dominated possession with 70 per cent of the ball, but it was Lillestrom who made better use of their 30 per cent.
Lillestrom beat Brann 3–2 (half-time 1–0).
Lillestrom met Brann in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at Åråsen Stadion. Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam.
Team pages: Lillestrom · Brann · Eliteserien
Key moments
- 23' Goal: Fredrik Gulbrandsen (assist: G. Nyheim) — 1–0
- 60' Goal: Kristian Eriksen — 1–1
- 64' Goal: Vá (assist: Lars Ranger) — 2–1
- 80' Goal: Vá (assist: G. Nyheim) — 3–1
- 86' Goal: Noah Holm (assist: Kristall Ingason) — 3–2
Starting line-ups
Lillestrom (4-1-4-1)
Brann (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lillestrom 31%, the draw 25%, Brann 44%. It finished Lillestrom 3–2 Brann.
Brann's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — We give Brann 44% mainly because they sit 116 points higher on our strength rating, 1543 to 1427, though Lillestrom's cold finishing, which streaks like this tend to bounce back from, pulls the other way. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for this gap, and both sides' finishing streaks nudge it down to 25%.
Why Brann at 44%?
Brann sit 116 points higher on our strength rating — 1543 to 1427. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,806 such games. Brann hold 9 more possession points (58 to 49 in recent games) across a 116-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,307 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. Brann sit -0.34 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,943 such games where the class table expected 35.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 35–27–38.
Why only 44%?
Lillestrom sit -0.52 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,943 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,185. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Jacob Sørensen, a star player, and Ulrik Mathisen, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Brann are unbeaten in their last 6 visits to Lillestrom: 5 wins and 1 draw, across 6 Eliteserien games. Last recorded defeat there: 11 May 2016 — Lillestrom 1–0 Brann. Latest visit: 12 May 2024 — Lillestrom 0–2 Brann. Across 2,285 historical matches involving visitors unbeaten in at least five consecutive visits, those visitors won 47.1%, compared with 45.2% expected from the teams' strength ratings.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lillestrom vs Brann final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eliteserien fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lillestrom 3–2 Brann. Explore more on the Lillestrom and Brann team pages or the Eliteserien page.