HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica — HNL: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsHNK Hajduk SplitYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 17′HNK Gorica, yellow card:Foul
- 22′HNK Hajduk Split, goal:1–0assist
- 33′HNK Hajduk Split, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- 33′HNK Hajduk Split, goal:2–0assist
- 38′HNK Hajduk Split, goal:3–0
- Half-time3 – 0
- 46′HNK Gorica, substitution:off
- 50′HNK Hajduk Split, goal:4–0assist
- 59′HNK Gorica, yellow card:Foul
- 59′HNK Gorica, substitution:off
- 59′HNK Gorica, substitution:off
- 63′HNK Hajduk Split, yellow card:
- 64′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 64′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 64′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 68′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 70′HNK Hajduk Split, goal:5–0
- 73′HNK Gorica, substitution:off
- 75′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 84′HNK Gorica, substitution:off
- 90′HNK Hajduk Split, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time5 – 0
Lineups
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HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
Match report
Hajduk Split thrash HNK Gorica 5-0 to stay top of the HNL
HNK Hajduk Split beat HNK Gorica 5-0 at Stadion Poljud on HNL Matchday 12, three of the goals arriving before half-time. The result left the hosts first in the table on 26 points from 12 games, 19 clear of Gorica, who stayed tenth on seven.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
A. Guram opened the scoring in the 22nd minute, set up by Mathieu Acapandié. Abdoulie Sanyang doubled the lead in the 33rd minute from a Carlos Martín assist, and Martín then scored himself in the 38th to make it 3-0 at the break.
Martín struck again in the 50th minute, this time created by Guram, to make it 4-0, and A. Sutalo completed the scoring in the 70th minute. Gorica, who had drawn three of their previous five games, could find no way back.
Hajduk travel to Lincoln Red Imps FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November, while Gorica host NK Slaven Belupo in the HNL on Saturday 7 November.
Carlos Martín scored twice and provided an assist for Sanyang's goal, earning a match-high rating of 9.44. A. Guram also contributed a goal and an assist, rated 8.6.
Hajduk had 13 shots to Gorica's 4, and put seven of them on target to the visitors' one.
HNK Hajduk Split beat HNK Gorica 5–0 (half-time 3–0).
HNK Hajduk Split met HNK Gorica in the HNL (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Stadion Poljud. Referee: F. Dragasevic.
Team pages: HNK Hajduk Split · HNK Gorica · HNL
Key moments
- 22' Goal: A. Guram (assist: Mathieu Acapandié) — 1–0 · Watch A. Guram's goal video (22')
- 33' Goal: Abdoulie Sanyang (assist: Carlos Martín) — 2–0
- 38' Goal: Carlos Martín — 3–0 · Watch Carlos Martín's goal video (38')
- 50' Goal: Carlos Martín (assist: A. Guram) — 4–0 · Watch Carlos Martín's goal video (50')
- 70' Goal: A. Sutalo — 5–0
Starting line-ups
HNK Hajduk Split (4-2-3-1)
HNK Gorica (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave HNK Hajduk Split 67%, the draw 23%, HNK Gorica 10%. It finished HNK Hajduk Split 5–0 HNK Gorica.
Hajduk Split's clear strength edge leads the way — We give Hajduk Split 67% mainly because they sit 254 points higher on our strength rating, 1625 to 1371, with the usual home advantage adding to that edge. The draw sits at 23%, starting from the usual 21% for a gap this size and nudged up because both sides' own recent games average just 2.3 goals.
Why HNK Hajduk Split at 67%?
HNK Hajduk Split sit 254 points higher on our strength rating — 1625 to 1371. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,971 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 66–23–11.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and HNK Gorica at 10%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 21.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 19,781. The goals environment adds 2.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
HNK Hajduk Split have averaged 9 percentage points more possession than HNK Gorica in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. HNK Hajduk Split are unbeaten in their last 8 home HNL games: 7 wins and 1 draw. The run began on 3 May 2026. It covers all 6 home HNL games this season. Last recorded home league defeat: 21 April 2026 — HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 NK Osijek. Latest home league result: 18 October 2026 — HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin. Across 16,141 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this HNL fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch A. Guram's goal against HNK Gorica (22').
- Watch Carlos Martín's goal against HNK Gorica (38').
- Watch Carlos Martín's goal against HNK Gorica (50').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from HNK Hajduk Split 5–0 HNK Gorica. Explore more on the HNK Hajduk Split and HNK Gorica team pages or the HNL page.