Bahia vs Corinthians — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- -5′Corinthians, yellow card:Argument
- 8′Corinthians, goal:0–1assist
- 12′Bahia, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 16′Corinthians, yellow card:Foul
- 19′Bahia, yellow card:Argument
- 28′Bahia, yellow card:Foul
- 35′Corinthians, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Bahia, goal:1–1assist
- 45+9′Bahia, yellow card:Rogerio Ceni
- Half-time1 – 1
- 67′Corinthians, yellow card:Foul
- 69′Bahia, substitution:off
- 69′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 69′Bahia, substitution:off
- 69′Bahia, substitution:off
- 70′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 77′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 77′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 77′Bahia, substitution:off
- 85′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 86′Bahia, substitution:off
- 90+6′Corinthians, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Bahia
Corinthians
Match report
Bahia snatch late leveller to draw with Corinthians
Bahia and Corinthians shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Arena Fonte Nova, a result from matchday 20 of the Brasileirão Série A that left Ceni Rogerio's side fifth and Fernando Diniz's Corinthians eighth in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Corinthians struck first in the eighth minute when F. Angileri converted an assist from Andre to put the visitors ahead. Bahia responded deep into first-half stoppage time, David Duarte finishing off a Rodrigo Nestor assist in the fourth minute of added time to make it 1-1, a scoreline that stood through to full time.
Bahia dominated territory and chances, holding 60 percent of possession and firing 12 shots to Corinthians' five, though only two from each side found the target. Referee Ramon Abatti issued two yellow cards to the home side and four to Corinthians as the visitors defended resolutely to preserve a share of the spoils.
David Duarte's stoppage-time finish earned him a match rating of 7.9, the highest of the afternoon, while Angileri's early strike for Corinthians also drew praise with a 7.6 rating.
Bahia's 0.65 expected goals figure against Corinthians' 0.17 reflected the home side's greater command of the chances created.
Bahia and Corinthians drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
Bahia met Corinthians in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 20). Kick-off was Sunday, 26 July 2026, 19:00 UTC at Arena Fonte Nova. Referee: Ramon Abatti Abel. Attendance: 44,576.
Team pages: Bahia · Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 8' Goal: Fabrizio Angileri (assist: Andre) — 0–1
- 45' Goal: David Duarte (assist: Rodrigo Nestor) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Bahia (3-1-4-2)
Corinthians (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bahia 44%, the draw 28%, Corinthians 28%. It finished Bahia 1–1 Corinthians.
Home ground outweighs Corinthians' rating edge — Corinthians are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Brasileirão Série A home advantage plus Corinthians' hot finishing due to cool give Bahia the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Bahia at 44%?
Home ground, against the rating. Corinthians sit 87 points higher on our strength rating — 1658 to 1746. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,433 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.3% of 4,371 games vs 44.9% across all 98,326 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Corinthians scored +0.53 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.1% of 1,417 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 44%?
Because Corinthians are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 28% and Corinthians at 28%.
Why is the draw second, level with the Corinthians win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,604. The cool-off factor takes 2.3 points off the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Bahia are missing 2 regular starters — David Duarte, Luciano Juba — about 27% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bahia vs Corinthians final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bahia 1–1 Corinthians. Explore more on the Bahia and Corinthians team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.