Fluminense vs Bahia — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 11′Fluminense, yellow card:Tripping
- 42′Fluminense, substitution:off
- Half-time
- 49′Bahia, yellow card:Misses next match
- 62′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 62′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 62′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 65′Bahia, substitution:off
- 65′Bahia, substitution:off
- 74′Bahia, substitution:off
- 75′Bahia, substitution:off
- 75′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 88′Bahia, substitution:off
- 90+1′Fluminense, yellow card:L. Zubeldia
- Full-time
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Match report
Fluminense held to goalless draw by resolute Bahia despite dominant display
Fluminense and Bahia played out a goalless draw in matchday 21 of the Brasileirão Série A, a result that did little to change the shape of the table for either side. There were no goals, no cards of note beyond the routine bookings, and no incidents recorded to punctuate the contest, leaving the story of the match to be told through territory and chances rather than a passage of key moments.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Fluminense dominated proceedings, holding 57% of possession and firing 21 shots to Bahia's 8, ten of which were on target compared to none from the visitors. Despite that overwhelming share of the ball and chances, Zubeldia Luis's side could not find a breakthrough, with Bahia's defence and goalkeeping standing firm throughout to preserve the stalemate.
The draw leaves Fluminense fourth on 34 points from 21 games and Bahia fifth on 32, with both teams continuing to sit close together in the standings after results that have seen Fluminense draw three of their last five and Bahia mix wins and defeats in a DDWWL sequence.
Ronaldo was rated the outstanding performer on the pitch with a 9.3 mark despite Bahia managing just a single shot on target all match, underlining his defensive contribution in keeping Fluminense at bay.
Fluminense's ten shots on target against Bahia's none was the clearest measure of the gulf in attacking threat between the two sides.
Fluminense and Bahia drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Fluminense met Bahia in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 21). Kick-off was Thursday, 30 July 2026, 00:30 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. Referee: Raphael Claus. Attendance: 12,354.
Team pages: Fluminense · Bahia · Brasileirão Série A
Starting line-ups
Fluminense (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Fábio
- 6 Renê
- 22 Juan Freytes
- 4 Ignacio
- 2 Samuel Xavier (c)
- 8 Martinelli
- 16 Nonato
- 30 Yeferson Soteldo
- 32 Luciano Acosta
- 17 Agustín Canobbio
- 7 Hulk
Bahia (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fluminense 59%, the draw 28%, Bahia 13%. It finished Fluminense 0–0 Bahia.
Fluminense's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Fluminense are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top gives Fluminense a clear lead. The draw at 28% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Fluminense at 59%?
Fluminense sit 116 points higher on our strength rating — 1774 to 1658. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,615 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,378 games vs 44.9% across all 98,650 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 51–27–22.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Bahia at 13%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Bahia win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,458. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bahia are missing 3 regular starters — David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba — about 37% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Fluminense have won the last 7 home meetings with Bahia. Streaks like this look decisive, but sides on a 3+ home run in a fixture won 59.0% of 4,848 such games vs 58.4% class-expected — the strength that built the streak is already in the rating. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fluminense vs Bahia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fluminense 0–0 Bahia. Explore more on the Fluminense and Bahia team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.