Match report
Mirassol edge past Remo as João Victor settles contest
Mirassol came from behind to beat Remo 2-1 in matchday 21 of the Brasileirão Série A, a result that lifted them to 14th in the table while Remo remained down in 19th. The hosts had taken an early lead through an own goal from Marllon in the 30th minute, only for Remo to draw level right before the break through Leonel Picco in first-half stoppage time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The scores were level at half-time at 1-1, but Mirassol regained the initiative early in the second half. João Victor restored their advantage in the 54th minute, converting after being set up by Reinaldo, and that proved the decisive moment as the hosts held on for victory.
Mirassol had the greater share of possession at 54% to Remo's 46%, though Remo managed more shots overall with 13 to Mirassol's eight. Mirassol were sharper in front of goal, however, registering four shots on target compared to Remo's two, and their expected-goals figure of 1.47 outstripped Remo's 0.8.
Leonel Picco scored Remo's equaliser and finished with the highest rating of the match at 8.0, while João Victor's second-half winner earned him a rating of 7.9 for Mirassol.
Mirassol's 15 fouls to Remo's five painted a picture of a physically uneven contest at the heart of the match.
Mirassol beat Remo 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Mirassol met Remo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 21). Kick-off was Wednesday, 29 July 2026, 22:30 UTC at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Referee: Lucas Torezin. Attendance: 4,519.
Team pages: Mirassol · Remo · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 30' Goal (own goal): Marllon — 1–0
- 45' Goal: Leonel Picco — 1–1
- 54' Goal: João Victor (assist: Reinaldo) — 2–1 · Watch João Victor's goal video (54')
Starting line-ups
Mirassol (4-2-3-1)
- 90 Thomazella
- 6 Reinaldo
- 44 Gabriel
- 34 João Victor (c)
- 32 Igor Formiga
- 5 Japa
- 8 Denilson
- 95 Edson
- 33 Eduardo
- 19 Gustavo Silva
- 30 Bruno Santos
Remo (4-2-3-1)
- 88 Marcelo Rangel
- 77 Mayk
- 27 Zé Ivaldo
- 13 Marllon (c)
- 79 Marcelinho
- 14 Leonel Picco
- 8 Patrick
- 11 Alef Manga
- 55 Zé Ricardo
- 22 Yago Pikachu
- 19 Gabriel Taliari
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Mirassol 55%, the draw 28%, Remo 17%. It finished Mirassol 2–1 Remo.
Mirassol's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Mirassol are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage plus Remo's hot finishing due to cool on top give Mirassol a clear lead. The draw at 28% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Mirassol at 55%?
Mirassol sit 99 points higher on our strength rating — 1679 to 1580. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,315 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,378 games vs 44.9% across all 98,650 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Remo scored +0.59 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.1% of 1,424 games, vs 28.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 55%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 55% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Remo at 17%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Remo win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,458. The cool-off factor takes 2.3 points off the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Remo have gained 73 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,087 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Mirassol are missing their first-choice keeper and 3 more regular starters — Walter, José Aldo, Igor Formiga — about 43% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Mirassol vs Remo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Mirassol 2–1 Remo. Explore more on the Mirassol and Remo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Mirassol vs Remo?
Mirassol beat Remo 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
›Who scored in Mirassol vs Remo?
Marllon (30') (own goal) for Mirassol; Leonel Picco (45') for Remo; João Victor (54') for Mirassol.
›Where can I watch Mirassol vs Remo highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Mirassol 2–1 Remo are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Remo?
Mirassol and Remo have met 1 time — 0 wins for Mirassol, 0 wins for Remo and 1 draw.