Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 37′Coritiba, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 54′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 60′Cruzeiro, substitution:offFelipe Morais
- 65′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 65′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 66′Cruzeiro, goal:0–1assist
- 69′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 70′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 79′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 79′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 86′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 86′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 90+2′Cruzeiro, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 1
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Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Match report
Matheus Pereira strike gives Cruzeiro win at Coritiba
Cruzeiro edged out Coritiba 1-0 in a Brasileirão Série A round 21 fixture, with Matheus Pereira's second-half goal proving decisive. The result lifted Jorge Artur's side to seventh in the table on 30 points, while Seabra Fernando's Coritiba remained 11th with 27 points from 21 games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The opening 45 minutes finished goalless, with neither side finding a breakthrough despite an even share of possession. Cruzeiro made their pressure count in the 66th minute when Matheus Pereira converted after being teed up by Gerson, sending the away side ahead and settling what had been a tight contest.
Coritiba pushed for an equaliser but could not find a way past Cruzeiro's defence, finishing with more shots on target yet unable to convert their chances. The visitors held on for the win, with W. do Nascimento issuing a yellow card to each side as the match wore on.
Matheus Pereira scored the only goal of the match and was rated the top performer on the pitch with an 8.3 rating. Gerson also impressed, supplying the assist for the winning strike.
Coritiba had the greater expected-goals figure of 2.32 against Cruzeiro's 0.97, yet it was the away side that made the breakthrough count.
Cruzeiro won 1–0 away against Coritiba (half-time 0–0).
Coritiba met Cruzeiro in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 21). Kick-off was Friday, 31 July 2026, 00:30 UTC at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira. Referee: W. do Nascimento. Attendance: 18,014.
Team pages: Coritiba · Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 66' Goal: Matheus Pereira (assist: Gerson) — 0–1 · Watch Matheus Pereira's goal video (66')
Starting line-ups
Coritiba (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Pedro Morisco
- 26 Bruno Melo
- 23 Tiago Cóser
- 55 Jacy
- 2 Tinga
- 19 Sebastián Gómez (c)
- 21 Thiago Santos
- 77 Breno Lopes
- 10 Josué
- 11 Lucas Ronier
- 32 Pedro Rocha
Cruzeiro (4-2-3-1)
- 81 Otávio Costa
- 27 Gabriel Rojas
- 34 Jonathan Jesus
- 15 Fabrício Bruno
- 12 William
- 8 Gerson
- 29 Lucas Romero (c)
- 38 Felipe Morais
- 10 Matheus Pereira
- 99 Keny Arroyo
- 19 Kaio Jorge
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Coritiba 35%, the draw 31%, Cruzeiro 34%. It finished Coritiba 0–1 Cruzeiro.
Anyone's game — Cruzeiro are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage is not enough to separate them. The draw at 31% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Coritiba at 35%?
Home ground, against the rating. Cruzeiro sit 192 points higher on our strength rating — 1553 to 1745. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,995 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,382 games vs 44.9% across all 98,666 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 35%?
Because Cruzeiro are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 31% and Cruzeiro at 34%.
Why the draw at 31%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,463. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Cruzeiro average 13 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 192 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Coritiba scored +0.30 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,719 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Coritiba vs Cruzeiro final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Coritiba 0–1 Cruzeiro. Explore more on the Coritiba and Cruzeiro team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.