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Match preview
Gremio meet Sao Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 22). Kick-off is Saturday, 8 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Team pages: Gremio · Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A
Over 1.5 Goals. League base rate: 78% over 1.5 goals On the other hand: Team over/under identity — Gremio have gone over 1.5 in 79% of their last 38 matches and Sao Paulo in 71% of their last 38, against a league
Under 3.5 Goals. League base rate: 24% over 3.5 goals On the other hand: Class gap (20 Elo points) — Matches with this rating gap ran −1.6pp vs their league norm at this line across 14,257 measured games.
Under 2.5 Goals. League base rate: 49% over 2.5 goals On the other hand: Team over/under identity — Gremio have gone over 2.5 in 45% of their last 38 matches and Sao Paulo in 42% of their last 38, against a league
Both Teams to Score. League base rate: 58% both teams score
Gremio to Score. League base rate: 82% home sides score
Home rated 1668 vs 1647 — 0.62 expected score Sao Paulo missing 4 key players Gremio in stronger form — 1.0 vs 0.4 ppg (n=5) Model expects 1.5 – 1.0 goal split
Model-generated pre-match read. Not betting advice.
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Gremio vs Sao Paulo, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Brasileirão Série A fixture kicks off.
Explore more on the Gremio and Sao Paulo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Kick-off is Saturday, 8 August 2026, 19:00 UTC, a Brasileirão Série A fixture (matchday 22).
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.
Gremio and Sao Paulo have met 10 times — 4 wins for Gremio, 6 wins for Sao Paulo and 0 draws.