Match report
Cruzeiro fight back to sink Mirassol 3-1 in Série A
Cruzeiro came from behind to beat Mirassol 3-1 in a Brasileirão Série A fixture from the Regular Season - 22 round, moving further clear in mid-table with a display built on late composure after being pegged back in the first half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
João Marcelo put the hosts ahead in the 12th minute, finishing off an assist from Bruno Rodrigues, only for Reinaldo to level from the penalty spot on 27 minutes and send the sides in level at 1-1 at the break. The contest stayed finely poised until the closing stages, when Cruzeiro found a second wind.
Kaio Jorge restored the home side's lead in the 76th minute, converting a Fágner assist, before Wesley Gassova added a third eight minutes later off a pass from Lucas Villalba to settle the outcome. Mirassol, despite matching Cruzeiro for possession, could not find a way back after falling behind again.
The numbers reflected a tight, low-margin contest for long spells: Mirassol actually shaded the expected-goals count and had more shots and shots on target, yet it was Cruzeiro's efficiency in front of goal that proved decisive in the final third.
João Marcelo opened the scoring in the 12th minute and finished with a match-high rating of 7.9, setting the tone for Cruzeiro's eventual comeback.
Despite the scoreline, Mirassol edged the expected-goals reading 1.31 to 0.68, underlining how clinical Cruzeiro were with the chances they took.
Cruzeiro beat Mirassol 3–1 (half-time 1–1).
Cruzeiro met Mirassol in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 22). Kick-off was Sunday, 9 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Referee: Lucas Casagrande. Attendance: 57,851.
Team pages: Cruzeiro · Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 12' Goal: João Marcelo (assist: Bruno Rodrigues) — 1–0 · Watch João Marcelo's goal video (12')
- 27' Goal (penalty): Reinaldo — 1–1 · Watch Reinaldo's goal video (27')
- 76' Goal: Kaio Jorge (assist: Fágner) — 2–1
- 84' Goal: Wesley Gassova (assist: Lucas Villalba) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Cruzeiro (4-2-3-1)
- 81 Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
- 25 Lucas Villalba
- 34 Jonathan
- 43 João Marcelo
- 23 Fágner
- 5 Zé Lucas
- 29 Lucas Romero (c)
- 70 Kenji
- 10 Matheus Pereira
- 99 Keny Arroyo
- 9 Bruno Rodrigues
Mirassol (4-3-1-2)
- 90 Thomazella
- 6 Reinaldo
- 44 Gabriel
- 34 João Victor (c)
- 18 Elias
- 8 Denilson
- 55 Gustavo Cazonatti
- 80 Wallisson
- 33 Eduardo
- 17 Fernandinho
- 30 Bruno Santos
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cruzeiro 52%, the draw 34%, Mirassol 14%. It finished Cruzeiro 3–1 Mirassol.
Cruzeiro's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Cruzeiro are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage plus their control of the ball on top give Cruzeiro the lean. The draw at 34% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Cruzeiro at 52%?
Cruzeiro sit 79 points higher on our strength rating — 1754 to 1675. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,344 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,388 games vs 44.9% across all 98,904 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Cruzeiro hold 8 more possession points (57 to 49 in recent games) across a 79-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,575 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 34% and Mirassol at 14%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Mirassol win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,059. The goals environment adds 3.8 points to the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Cruzeiro are missing 3 regular starters — Matheus Pereira, Keny Arroyo, Gerson — about 35% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Mirassol are missing their first-choice keeper and 1 more regular starter — Walter, Alesson — about 24% of their usual starting-XI weight. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cruzeiro vs Mirassol final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Cruzeiro 3–1 Mirassol. Explore more on the Cruzeiro and Mirassol team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
Cruzeiro beat Mirassol 3–1 (half-time 1–1).
›Who scored in Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
João Marcelo (12') for Cruzeiro; Reinaldo (27') (penalty) for Mirassol; Kaio Jorge (76') for Cruzeiro; Wesley Gassova (84') for Cruzeiro.
›Where can I watch Cruzeiro vs Mirassol highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Cruzeiro 3–1 Mirassol are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Mirassol?
Cruzeiro and Mirassol have met 3 times — 1 win for Cruzeiro, 0 wins for Mirassol and 2 draws.