Match report
Sao Paulo vs Coritiba — the facts
Sao Paulo and Coritiba drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Sao Paulo met Coritiba in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 23). Kick-off was Sunday, 16 August 2026, 00:00 UTC at Estadio Do MorumBIS. Referee: Charly Wendy Straub Deretti. Attendance: 44,491.
Team pages: Sao Paulo · Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 43' Goal: Pablo Maia (assist: Victor Sá) — 1–0 · Watch Pablo Maia's goal video (43')
- 57' Goal: Tiago Cóser (assist: Breno Lopes) — 1–1 · Watch Tiago Cóser's goal video (57')
Starting line-ups
Sao Paulo (4-3-3)
- 23 Rafael
- 19 Lucas Ramon
- 5 Robert Arboleda
- 22 Domingos Duarte
- 18 Wendell
- 28 Newton
- 29 Pablo Maia
- 8 Marcos Antônio
- 10 Luciano
- 9 Jonathan Calleri
- 27 Victor Sá
- 19 Lucas Carvalho
Coritiba (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sao Paulo 57%, the draw 27%, Coritiba 16%. It finished Sao Paulo 1–1 Coritiba.
Sao Paulo's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Sao Paulo are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage plus Coritiba's hot finishing due to cool on top give Sao Paulo a clear lead. The draw at 27% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Sao Paulo at 57%?
Sao Paulo sit 90 points higher on our strength rating — 1639 to 1549. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,354 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,394 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Coritiba scored +0.31 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.1% of 1,435 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Coritiba at 16%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Coritiba win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,785. The cool-off factor takes 2.2 points off the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Sao Paulo have shed 62 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,610 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Coritiba are missing 3 regular starters — Bruno Melo, Jacy, Josué — about 50% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sao Paulo vs Coritiba final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sao Paulo 1–1 Coritiba. Explore more on the Sao Paulo and Coritiba team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?
Sao Paulo and Coritiba drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?
Pablo Maia (43') for Sao Paulo; Tiago Cóser (57') for Coritiba.
›Where can I watch Sao Paulo vs Coritiba highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Sao Paulo 1–1 Coritiba are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo and Coritiba?
Sao Paulo and Coritiba have met 10 times — 4 wins for Sao Paulo, 1 win for Coritiba and 5 draws.