Fluminense vs 15.08.26 19:303 – 2Full TimePalmeiras — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis

Match report

Cano's stoppage-time winner completes Fluminense fightback over Palmeiras

Fluminense came from behind twice to beat league leaders Palmeiras 3-2 in a Brasileirão Série A round 23 fixture, with Germán Cano's second-minute stoppage-time strike sealing a dramatic turnaround. Palmeiras had led at the break, but the hosts fought back to snatch victory deep into added time.

AI-assisted match report written from official match data.

Gustavo Gómez opened the scoring in the tenth minute, converting from a Joaquín Piquerez assist, before Hulk levelled matters on 42 minutes with a finish set up by Agustín Canobbio, leaving the sides level at half-time. Palmeiras looked to have taken control again when Maurício restored their lead in the 82nd minute, assisted by José López, but Fluminense responded almost immediately.

Kevin Serna equalised in the 85th minute to make it 2-2, setting the stage for Cano to strike in the second minute of stoppage time, assisted by Martinelli, and hand Fluminense a 3-2 win. Fluminense dominated the ball throughout, with 60 percent possession and 17 shots to Palmeiras' 15, reflecting a match in which the hosts pressed for a winner despite twice falling behind.

José López claimed an assist for Palmeiras' second goal and finished with a 7.7 rating, while Hulk also earned a 7.7 for his equalising strike before half-time.

Fluminense's 60 percent share of possession underlined their control of the game even as they twice had to come from behind.

Fluminense beat Palmeiras 3–2 (half-time 1–1).

Fluminense met Palmeiras in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 23). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 19:30 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. Referee: Anderson Daronco. Attendance: 20,265.

Team pages: Fluminense · Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A

Key moments

10' Goal: Gustavo Gómez (assist: Joaquín Piquerez) — 0–1 · Watch Gustavo Gómez's goal video (10')
42' Goal: Hulk (assist: Agustín Canobbio) — 1–1 · Watch Hulk's goal video (42')
82' Goal: Maurício (assist: José López) — 1–2 · Watch Maurício's goal video (82')
85' Goal: Kevin Serna — 2–2 · Watch Kevin Serna's goal video (85')
90' Goal: Germán Cano (assist: Martinelli) — 3–2 · Watch Germán Cano's goal video (90')

Starting line-ups

Fluminense (4-2-3-1)

Palmeiras (4-4-2)

Sirius · Why these numbers

Before kick-off Sirius gave Fluminense 38%, the draw 31%, Palmeiras 31%. It finished Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras.

Home ground outweighs Palmeiras' rating edge — Palmeiras are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Brasileirão Série A home advantage plus Fluminense's cold finishing due to recover give Fluminense the lean. The draw at 31% is helped by a draw-heavy league.

Why Fluminense at 38%?

Home ground, against the rating. Palmeiras sit 174 points higher on our strength rating — 1746 to 1919. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,044 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,394 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Fluminense sit -0.30 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,344 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.

Why only 38%?

Because Palmeiras are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 31% and Palmeiras at 31%.

Why is the draw second, level with the Palmeiras win?

With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,561. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.

What did we measure but not count?

Palmeiras scored +0.45 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,760 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Fluminense are missing 2 regular starters — Ignacio, John Kennedy — about 21% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short.

Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab

About this match

On this page: the Fluminense vs Palmeiras final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.

Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.

Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras. Explore more on the Fluminense and Palmeiras team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.

Quick answers

›What was the final score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

Fluminense beat Palmeiras 3–2 (half-time 1–1).

›Who scored in Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

Gustavo Gómez (10') for Palmeiras; Hulk (42') for Fluminense; Maurício (82') for Palmeiras; Kevin Serna (85') for Fluminense; Germán Cano (90') for Fluminense.

›Where can I watch Fluminense vs Palmeiras highlights?

Goal highlights and video clips from Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.

›What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Palmeiras?

Fluminense and Palmeiras have met 10 times — 4 wins for Fluminense, 3 wins for Palmeiras and 3 draws.