Atletico Paranaense vs 15.08.26 21:301 – 1Full Time
RB Bragantino — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Kerwin Vargas snatches point for Atletico Paranaense against Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino shared the points in a 1-1 draw in matchday 23 of the Brasileirao Serie A, played at the Arena da Baixada. The scoreline stayed level at half-time before a second-half swing decided the contest inside a tight eight-minute window.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bragantino broke the deadlock in the 67th minute when Pedro Henrique converted an assist from Ariel Sant'Anna to make it 0-1. The lead lasted only eight minutes, as Kerwin Vargas restored parity for the home side in the 75th minute, finishing off a Kevin Viveros assist to level the score at 1-1, which proved the final result.
Despite conceding first, Atletico Paranaense dominated territory and chances, holding 64 percent of possession and outshooting their visitors seven to three, with three efforts on target compared to just one for Bragantino. That control was reflected in the underlying numbers, with the home side racking up 0.86 in expected goals against Bragantino's 0.09, underlining how much of the match was played in the away side's half.
Tiago Volpi was the top-rated performer on the pitch with a 7.9 rating despite finishing on the losing side of the scoreline, while goalscorer Pedro Henrique also impressed with a 7.7 rating for Bragantino.
Atletico Paranaense's dominance was best captured by their 64 percent share of possession compared to Bragantino's 36 percent.
Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Atletico Paranaense met RB Bragantino in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 23). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 21:30 UTC at Arena da Baixada. Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano. Attendance: 30,473.
Team pages: Atletico Paranaense · RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 67' Goal: Pedro Henrique (assist: Ariel Sant'Anna) — 0–1
- 75' Goal: Kerwin Vargas (assist: Kevin Viveros) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Atletico Paranaense (3-4-2-1)
- 23 Santos (c)
- 4 Arthur Dias
- 33 Juan Aguirre
- 29 Gastón Benavídez
- 7 Steven Mendoza
- 14 Luiz Gustavo
- 16 Jádson
- 12 Gilberto
- 8 João Cruz
- 21 Leozinho
- 9 Kevin Viveros
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atletico Paranaense 46%, the draw 33%, RB Bragantino 21%. It finished Atletico Paranaense 1–1 RB Bragantino.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage gives Atletico Paranaense the lean. The draw at 33% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Atletico Paranaense in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1704 to 1663. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,465 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.8%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,394 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 33% and RB Bragantino at 21%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the RB Bragantino win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,080. The goals environment adds 3.8 points to the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Atletico Paranaense sit -0.30 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last 9 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,491 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atletico Paranaense 1–1 RB Bragantino. Explore more on the Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?
Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino?
Pedro Henrique (67') for RB Bragantino; Kerwin Vargas (75') for Atletico Paranaense.
›Where can I watch Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Atletico Paranaense 1–1 RB Bragantino are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino?
Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino have met 10 times — 4 wins for Atletico Paranaense, 4 wins for RB Bragantino and 2 draws.