Atletico-MG vs Gremio — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 19′Atletico-MG, goal:1–0assist
- 31′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 39′Gremio, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 42′Atletico-MG, yellow card:
- 45+2′Atletico-MG, yellow card:Tripping
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Gremio, substitution:off
- 46′Gremio, substitution:off
- 46′Gremio, substitution:off
- 57′Atletico-MG, yellow card:Tripping
- 61′Gremio, yellow card:
- 61′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 61′Atletico-MG, substitution:K. Castanooff
- 62′Atletico-MG, goal:2–0assist
- 63′Gremio, substitution:off
- 66′Atletico-MG, goal:3–0
- 69′Gremio, yellow card:Foul
- 76′Gremio, substitution:off
- 81′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 81′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 0
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Atletico-MG
Gremio
Match report
Cuello brace sinks Gremio as Atletico-MG cruise to 3-0 win
Atletico-MG beat Gremio 3-0 at MRV Arena in round 23 of the Brasileirão Série A, moving further clear in mid-table with a display that was comfortable from the opening exchanges to the final whistle.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Vitor Hugo broke the deadlock in the 19th minute, converting from an Igor Gomes assist to put the home side ahead at the break. Gremio never found a response, and the contest was effectively settled in a five-minute burst midway through the second half when Tomás Cuello struck twice, first from a Renan Lodi assist in the 62nd minute and again four minutes later to make it 3-0.
The home side dominated the underlying numbers despite a near-even possession split, registering 14 shots to Gremio's nine and five on target compared with just one for the visitors. Gremio's WWDDL form coming in gave way to a heavy defeat that leaves them 15th in the table, while Atletico-MG's win consolidated ninth position with 32 points from 22 games.
Tomás Cuello scored twice in the second half, including the decisive third goal, and finished with a match rating of 10.0.
Atletico-MG's 2.47 expected goals to Gremio's 0.41 underlined the gulf in the quality of chances created over the 90 minutes.
Atletico-MG beat Gremio 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Atletico-MG met Gremio in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 23). Kick-off was Sunday, 16 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at MRV Arena. Referee: Bruno Arleu de Araujo. Attendance: 30,126.
Team pages: Atletico-MG · Gremio · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 19' Goal: Vitor Hugo (assist: Igor Gomes) — 1–0
- 62' Goal: Tomás Cuello (assist: Renan Lodi) — 2–0
- 66' Goal: Tomás Cuello — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Atletico-MG (4-2-3-1)
- 22 Everson (c)
- 6 Renan Lodi
- 14 Vitor Hugo
- 4 Ruan Tressoldi
- 23 Angelo Preciado
- 21 Alan Franco
- 39 Mamady Cisse
- 17 Igor Gomes
- 30 Victor Hugo
- 28 Tomás Cuello
- 9 Mateo Cassierra
Gremio (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atletico-MG 48%, the draw 30%, Gremio 22%. It finished Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage gives Atletico-MG the lean. The draw at 30% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Atletico-MG in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1692 to 1676. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,474 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.8%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,397 games vs 44.9% across all 99,082 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 30% and Gremio at 22%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Gremio win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,580. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Atletico-MG are missing 2 regular starters — Renan Lodi, Lyanco — about 19% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atletico-MG vs Gremio final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio. Explore more on the Atletico-MG and Gremio team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.