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RB Bragantino vs 23.08.26 19:001 – 0Full Time
Gremio — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
RB Bragantino snatched a 1-0 win over Gremio in round 24 of the Brasileirão Série A, courtesy of a goal deep into stoppage time. The result lifted the home side, seventh in the table before kick-off, while Gremio remained down in 16th place after the defeat.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match stayed goalless through normal time despite Bragantino dominating territory and chances, and it looked destined for a draw. Then, in the fifth minute of added time, Gustavo Marques struck to make it 1-0, with Gustavinho supplying the assist to complete a dramatic late winner.
Bragantino controlled proceedings throughout, holding 54 percent possession and firing 25 shots to Gremio's 14, with three of those on target compared to Gremio's one. The home side's 2.7 expected goals figure against Gremio's 0.5 underlined how much of the pressure was applied at one end, even if the breakthrough came only at the very end.
Wallace produced the highest-rated display of the match at 8.2 for Gremio, though it was Bragantino's Pedro Henrique, rated 8.0, and Juninho Capixaba, at 7.6, who helped sustain the home side's pressure that eventually told.
Bragantino's 25 shots to Gremio's 14 reflected the lopsided territorial battle that eventually yielded a stoppage-time breakthrough.
RB Bragantino beat Gremio 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
RB Bragantino met Gremio in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 24). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques. Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima. Attendance: 4,380.
Team pages: RB Bragantino · Gremio · Brasileirão Série A
Before kick-off Sirius gave RB Bragantino 48%, the draw 30%, Gremio 22%. It finished RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage gives RB Bragantino the lean. The draw at 30% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1663 to 1659. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,492 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,407 games vs 44.9% across all 99,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 30% and Gremio at 22%.
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,635. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
Last 6 between them: RB Bragantino 3 wins, 3 draws, Gremio 0 wins. Most recently Gremio 1–1 RB Bragantino, 5 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5051 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the RB Bragantino vs Gremio final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio. Explore more on the RB Bragantino and Gremio team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
RB Bragantino beat Gremio 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Gustavo Marques (90') for RB Bragantino.
Goal highlights and video clips from RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
RB Bragantino and Gremio have met 10 times — 5 wins for RB Bragantino, 1 win for Gremio and 4 draws.