Match report
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo — the facts
Cruzeiro beat Flamengo 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Cruzeiro met Flamengo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 24). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Referee: Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima. Attendance: 34,166.
Team pages: Cruzeiro · Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Pedro (assist: Giorgian de Arrascaeta) — 0–1 · Watch Pedro's goal video (22')
- 55' Goal: Keny Arroyo (assist: Matheus Henrique) — 1–1 · Watch Keny Arroyo's goal video (55')
- 90' Goal: Matheus Pereira (assist: Lucas Villalba) — 2–1 · Watch Matheus Pereira's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Cruzeiro (4-2-3-1)
Flamengo (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cruzeiro 33%, the draw 32%, Flamengo 35%. It finished Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo.
Flamengo's rating edge outweighs Cruzeiro's home ground — Flamengo are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Flamengo the lean. The draw at 32% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Flamengo at 35%?
Flamengo sit 141 points higher on our strength rating — 1777 to 1918. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,069 such games. Flamengo hold 6 more possession points (63 to 57 in recent games) across a 141-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,607 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 35–27–38.
Why only 35%?
Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,404 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 32%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,608. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Flamengo scored +0.32 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,779 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: Cruzeiro 1 win, 1 draw, Flamengo 4 wins. Most recently Flamengo 2–0 Cruzeiro, 5 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5578 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cruzeiro vs Flamengo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Pedro's goal against Cruzeiro (22').
- Watch Keny Arroyo's goal against Flamengo (55').
- Watch Matheus Pereira's goal against Flamengo (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo. Explore more on the Cruzeiro and Flamengo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Cruzeiro beat Flamengo 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Pedro (22') for Flamengo; Keny Arroyo (55') for Cruzeiro; Matheus Pereira (90') for Cruzeiro.
›Where can I watch Cruzeiro vs Flamengo highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Flamengo?
Cruzeiro and Flamengo have met 10 times — 1 win for Cruzeiro, 7 wins for Flamengo and 2 draws.