Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 14′Atletico Paranaense, goal:0–1assist
- 28′Coritiba, yellow card:
- 30′Atletico Paranaense, goal:0–2assist
- 34′Coritiba, yellow card:
- 34′Atletico Paranaense, yellow card:
- 43′Atletico Paranaense, yellow card:
- 44′Coritiba, VAR review:Card upgrade
- 45+1′Coritiba, red card:
- 45+2′Coritiba, goal:1–2
- 45+9′Coritiba, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 2
- 46′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 46′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 46′Coritiba, substitution:Richardoff
- 46′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 46′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 46′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 46′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 63′Atletico Paranaense, penalty goal:1–3Penalty
- 67′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 74′Coritiba, substitution:Rodrigo Geladooff
- 90+1′Coritiba, goal:2–3assist
- 90+3′Atletico Paranaense, yellow card:
- 90+4′Atletico Paranaense, substitution:off
- 90+7′Coritiba, goal:3–3assist
- Full-time3 – 3
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Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Match report
Ten-man Coritiba fight back from two down to draw 3-3 with Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba came from two goals behind and a first-half sending-off to salvage a 3-3 draw against Atletico Paranaense in a Brasileirão Série A round 27 fixture. Luiz Gustavo opened the scoring in the 14th minute, assisted by Lucas Esquivel, before Arthur Dias doubled the lead in the 30th, teed up by João Cruz.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Coritiba's night was complicated further when Breno Lopes was sent off in first-half stoppage time, yet Tiago Cóser pulled a goal back moments later to make it 1-2 at the break. Kevin Viveros restored the two-goal cushion from the penalty spot in the 63rd minute, putting Atletico Paranaense 3-1 ahead and seemingly in control despite playing against ten men.
Rodrigo Moledo turned the closing stages on their head, scoring in the first minute of stoppage time with an assist from Josué to make it 2-3, then equalising again in the seventh minute of added time, also set up by Josué, to complete a dramatic 3-3 finish for the ten-man home side.
Rodrigo Moledo scored twice in stoppage time, including a last-gasp equaliser, to rescue a point for Coritiba and finished with the match's top rating of 8.76. Josué also caught the eye with two assists, setting up both of Moledo's late goals.
Atletico Paranaense's Kevin Viveros converted from the penalty spot as part of an away side that had to soak up a match in which Coritiba, despite finishing with ten men, held 61% of the possession.
Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense drew 3–3 (half-time 1–2).
Coritiba met Atletico Paranaense in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 27). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 00:00 UTC at Estádio Couto Pereira. Referee: Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes. Attendance: 26,112.
Team pages: Coritiba · Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Luiz Gustavo (assist: Lucas Esquivel) — 0–1
- 30' Goal: Arthur Dias (assist: João Cruz) — 0–2
- 45+1' Red card: Breno Lopes
- 45+2' Goal: Tiago Cóser — 1–2
- 63' Goal (penalty): Kevin Viveros — 1–3
- 90+1' Goal: Rodrigo Moledo (assist: Josué) — 2–3
- 90+7' Goal: Rodrigo Moledo (assist: Josué) — 3–3
Starting line-ups
Coritiba (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Pedro Morisco
- 26 Bruno Melo
- 55 Jacy
- 23 Tiago Cóser
- 44 JP Chermont
- 19 Sebastián Gómez
- 21 Thiago Santos
- 7 Joaquín Lavega
- 10 Josué
- 77 Breno Lopes
- 32 Pedro Rocha
Atletico Paranaense (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Coritiba 36%, the draw 29%, Atletico Paranaense 35%. It finished Coritiba 3–3 Atletico Paranaense.
Anyone's game — Atletico Paranaense are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage is not enough to separate them. The draw at 29% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Coritiba at 36%?
Home ground, against the rating. Atletico Paranaense sit 140 points higher on our strength rating — 1566 to 1706. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,161 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,435 games vs 44.9% across all 100,057 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 36%?
Because Atletico Paranaense are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 29% and Atletico Paranaense at 35%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,040. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Coritiba scored +0.65 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,851 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Coritiba are missing 4 regular starters — Jacy, Tiago Cóser, Thiago Santos — about 38% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Coritiba 3–3 Atletico Paranaense. Explore more on the Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.