Flamengo vs 13.09.26 20:302 – 1Full Time
Corinthians — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Flamengo edge past Corinthians despite late scare
Flamengo came from ahead twice to beat Corinthians 2-1 in Brasileirão Série A matchday 27, a result that kept Leonardo Jardim's side top of the table while Fernando Diniz's Corinthians remained mired in 13th. The match was goalless at half-time before an eventful second period settled the contest.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Lucas Paquetá broke the deadlock three minutes after the restart, converting an assist from J. Freitas to put the hosts in front. Corinthians responded through Guilherme Inácio in the 78th minute, Kaio César supplying the assist to level matters at 1-1 and threaten a share of the points. But Flamengo had the last word: Bruno Henrique struck in the 89th minute, again teed up by Freitas, to restore the lead and seal victory.
Flamengo dominated territory and chances throughout, holding 64 percent of possession and firing 32 shots to Corinthians' three, with ten efforts on target against just one for the visitors. That gulf in output reflected a match Flamengo controlled almost from start to finish, even as Corinthians' late equaliser briefly threatened to disrupt the pattern.
Lucas Paquetá scored the opening goal and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 7.96 mark, playing a central role in breaking Corinthians' resistance after the break.
Flamengo's 32 shots to Corinthians' three underlined the gulf in attacking output between the two sides.
Flamengo beat Corinthians 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Flamengo met Corinthians in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 27). Kick-off was Sunday, 13 September 2026, 20:30 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio. Attendance: 70,112.
Team pages: Flamengo · Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 48' Goal: Lucas Paquetá (assist: J. Freitas) — 1–0 · Watch Lucas Paquetá's goal video (48')
- 78' Goal: Guilherme Inácio (assist: Kaio César) — 1–1
- 89' Goal: Bruno Henrique (assist: J. Freitas) — 2–1 · Watch Bruno Henrique's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Flamengo (4-2-3-1)
Corinthians (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Flamengo 69%, the draw 23%, Corinthians 8%. It finished Flamengo 2–1 Corinthians.
Flamengo's rating gap decides it — Flamengo are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top gives Flamengo a clear lead. The draw at 23% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Flamengo at 69%?
Flamengo sit 234 points higher on our strength rating — 1921 to 1687. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,996 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,442 games vs 44.9% across all 100,162 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 69–18–13.
Why only 69%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 69% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Corinthians at 8%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,820. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Flamengo scored +0.68 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,865 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Corinthians are missing their first-choice keeper and 5 more regular starters — Matheuzinho, Breno, Hugo Souza — about 59% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Flamengo vs Corinthians final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Lucas Paquetá's goal against Corinthians (48').
- Watch Bruno Henrique's goal against Corinthians (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Flamengo 2–1 Corinthians. Explore more on the Flamengo and Corinthians team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Flamengo beat Corinthians 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Lucas Paquetá (48') for Flamengo; Guilherme Inácio (78') for Corinthians; Bruno Henrique (89') for Flamengo.
›Where can I watch Flamengo vs Corinthians highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Flamengo 2–1 Corinthians are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Corinthians?
Flamengo and Corinthians have met 10 times — 5 wins for Flamengo, 2 wins for Corinthians and 3 draws.