Atletico-MG vs Fluminense — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 19′Atletico-MG, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 52′Fluminense, yellow card:
- 61′Atletico-MG, goal:1–0assist
- 61′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 61′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 63′Atletico-MG, goal:2–0
- 65′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 65′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 69′Fluminense, yellow card:
- 70′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 70′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 72′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 72′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 78′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 81′Atletico-MG, goal:3–0assist
- 90′Fluminense, goal:3–1assist
- 90+1′Fluminense, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 1
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Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Match report
Atletico-MG overwhelm Fluminense with second-half surge
Atletico-MG beat Fluminense 3-1 at MRV Arena in matchday 27 of the Brasileirão Série A, turning a goalless stalemate into a comfortable win through a burst of second-half goals. The scoreline reflected a home side that grew into the contest after the break, while Fluminense's response arrived far too late to matter.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 61st minute when Reinier converted an assist from Tomás Cuello to put Atletico-MG ahead. Two minutes later Cuello turned provider into scorer himself, doubling the lead with a goal that effectively settled the contest before the hour mark had barely passed.
Vitão added a third in the 81st minute, finishing off a move started by Mateo Cassierra, and Fluminense could only find a consolation deep into stoppage time through Rodrigo Castillo, set up by Kevin Serna in the 90th minute. By then Atletico-MG had long since taken control, with 15 shots to Fluminense's nine underlining their dominance in front of goal.
Tomás Cuello finished with a goal and an assist, capping a productive display that earned him the highest rating on the pitch at 9.0.
Atletico-MG's seven shots on target compared with Fluminense's three underlined how much more clinical the home side were in front of goal.
Atletico-MG beat Fluminense 3–1 (half-time 0–0).
Atletico-MG met Fluminense in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 27). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at Arena MRV. Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan. Attendance: 20,073.
Team pages: Atletico-MG · Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 61' Goal: Reinier (assist: Tomás Cuello) — 1–0
- 63' Goal: Tomás Cuello — 2–0
- 81' Goal: Vitão (assist: Mateo Cassierra) — 3–0
- 90' Goal: Rodrigo Castillo (assist: Kevin Serna) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Atletico-MG (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Gabriel Delfim
- 36 K. Pascini
- 14 Vitor Hugo
- 40 Vitão
- 2 Natanael
- 15 Kevin Castaño
- 21 Alan Franco
- 11 Bernard
- 7 Fred
- 28 Tomás Cuello
- 19 Reinier
Fluminense (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atletico-MG 36%, the draw 36%, Fluminense 28%. It finished Atletico-MG 3–1 Fluminense.
Anyone's game — Fluminense are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage against Fluminense's control of the ball cancels out. The draw at 36% is level with the Atletico-MG win, lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Atletico-MG at 36%?
Home ground, against the rating. Fluminense sit 63 points higher on our strength rating — 1707 to 1770. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,621 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.1% of 4,436 games vs 44.9% across all 100,077 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 36%?
Because Fluminense are the stronger side on our strength rating. Fluminense hold 5 more possession points (57 to 52 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.3% across 5,582 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why is the draw level with the Atletico-MG win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,201. The goals environment adds 4.0 points to the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.1 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Atletico-MG are missing their first-choice keeper and 2 more regular starters — Ruan Tressoldi, Everson, Victor Hugo — about 43% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Atletico-MG have played 3+ games in the last two weeks; their opponents haven't. Between equals, congested home sides won 46.9% of 2438 measured games and congested visitors 28.3% of 2488 — the cells disagree with each other and with the flat rest table, so schedule stays a watch item at 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atletico-MG vs Fluminense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atletico-MG 3–1 Fluminense. Explore more on the Atletico-MG and Fluminense team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.