Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 28′Vasco DA Gama, goal:0–1assist
- 42′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- Half-time0 – 1
- 50′Vasco DA Gama, goal:0–2assist
- 57′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 60′Botafogo, goal:1–2
- 65′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 65′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 69′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 74′Vasco DA Gama, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 80′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 80′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 80′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 84′Botafogo, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 88′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 88′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 90+7′Botafogo, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 2
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Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Match report
Vasco da Gama hold off Botafogo fightback to win at Nilton Santos
Vasco da Gama won 2-1 at Estádio Nilton Santos in round 29 of the Brasileirão Série A, a result that moved them to 14th in the table while Botafogo stayed 13th despite the defeat. The match produced three goals, with the visitors doing the early damage before a late rally from the home side fell short.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Alan Lescano put Vasco ahead in the 28th minute, finishing from an assist by Bruno Duarte to send the away side in 1-0 up at half-time. David doubled the lead six minutes into the second half, converting a chance created by Facundo Colidio to make it 2-0. Botafogo responded through Alex Telles in the 60th minute, pulling one back to set up a tense finish, but they could not find a second as Vasco held on for the win.
Vasco finished with fewer shots and less of the ball but made their possession count, while Botafogo's late pressure brought a goal but not an equaliser.
Alex Telles scored Botafogo's only goal of the match, a 60th-minute strike that earned him the highest rating on the pitch at 8.04.
Botafogo had considerably more of the ball, with 54% possession to Vasco's 46%, yet it was the away side who made the better use of their chances.
Vasco DA Gama won 2–1 away against Botafogo (half-time 0–1).
Botafogo met Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 29). Kick-off was Wednesday, 7 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Referee: Bruno Arleu de Araujo. Attendance: 23,596.
Team pages: Botafogo · Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 28' Goal: Alan Lescano (assist: Bruno Duarte) — 0–1
- 50' Goal: David (assist: Facundo Colidio) — 0–2
- 60' Goal: Alex Telles — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Botafogo (4-2-3-1)
Vasco DA Gama (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Botafogo 41%, the draw 31%, Vasco DA Gama 28%. It finished Botafogo 1–2 Vasco DA Gama.
Level sides, home ground holds off Vasco DA Gama's cold finishing due to recover — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage gives Botafogo the lean. The draw at 31% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Botafogo in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1525 to 1532. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,785 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,458 games vs 44.6% across all 100,985 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 41%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Vasco DA Gama sit -0.74 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.4% of 1,345 games, vs 28.1% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Vasco DA Gama win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,272. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.5 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Vasco DA Gama have gained 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,166 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Botafogo are 2 games into a new manager (Tite), appointed 21 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Botafogo 1–2 Vasco DA Gama. Explore more on the Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.