Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 42′Sao Paulo, yellow card:
- 44′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 46′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 46′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 51′Vasco DA Gama, VAR review:Red card cancelled
- 54′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:
- 62′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 68′Sao Paulo, goal:1–0assist
- 71′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 74′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 74′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 80′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 89′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 89′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 90+2′Sao Paulo, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
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Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Match report
Sao Paulo edge Vasco DA Gama 1-0 at Morumbi through Artur's second-half goal
Sao Paulo beat Vasco DA Gama 1-0 at Morumbi in Brasileirão Série A on matchday 31, Artur's 68th-minute strike separating the sides in a tight contest. The home side had lost three of their previous five games and needed a result to arrest a stuttering run.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Neither team found a way through before the interval, which ended goalless, and the match stayed cagey until the hour mark had passed. Artur then broke the deadlock in the 68th minute, finishing from an assist by Pedro Lima to give Sao Paulo the lead they would not relinquish.
Vasco DA Gama had the greater share of the ball, with 60% possession to Sao Paulo's 40%, and they managed 13 shots to nine. Yet both sides put just two efforts on target, and the visitors could not find an equaliser. The win lifted Sao Paulo from tenth to eighth, on 42 points, while Vasco stayed 15th on 35. Both clubs play again on Saturday 24 October: Sao Paulo travel to face Mirassol, and Vasco host Corinthians.
Artur scored the only goal of the match and carried a rating of 7.75. Pedro Lima created it with the assist, while Newton posted the highest rating of the three listed top performers at 7.79.
Vasco DA Gama enjoyed 60% of the possession but could not turn it into a goal, losing despite 13 shots to Sao Paulo's nine.
Sao Paulo beat Vasco DA Gama 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Sao Paulo met Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 00:00 UTC at Estadio Do MorumBIS. Referee: Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho. Attendance: 31,501.
Team pages: Sao Paulo · Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 68' Goal: Artur (assist: Pedro Lima) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Sao Paulo (3-4-2-1)
- 23 Rafael
- 2 Rafael Tolói
- 5 Robert Arboleda
- 28 Newton
- 12 Iago
- 16 Damián Bobadilla
- 8 Marcos Antônio
- 32 Pedro Lima
- 37 Artur
- 10 Luciano
- 9 Jonathan Calleri
Vasco DA Gama (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sao Paulo 41%, the draw 31%, Vasco DA Gama 28%. It finished Sao Paulo 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.
Home advantage gives Sao Paulo a slight lean — Our strength rating has almost nothing between the sides, so Sao Paulo's home advantage, strong across Brasileirão Série A, puts them in front at 41%, though Vasco's cold finishing streak, which tends to bounce back, pulls the other way. The draw starts at 27% for sides this level and rises to 31%, lifted by the league's usual draw rate, typical scoring and that streak.
Why Sao Paulo in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1496 to 1536. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,828 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,479 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 41%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Vasco DA Gama sit -0.33 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.6% of 1,375 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Vasco DA Gama win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,340. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Sao Paulo sit -0.37 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Doubtful: Carlos Cuesta, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sao Paulo 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Explore more on the Sao Paulo and Vasco DA Gama team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.

