Fluminense vs Internacional — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow1 clip- 46′Internacional, substitution:off
- 46′Internacional, goal:0–1assist
- 58′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 58′Internacional, substitution:off
- 58′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 60′Internacional, yellow card:
- 63′Fluminense, yellow card:
- 70′Fluminense, yellow card:
- 73′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 73′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 78′Fluminense, goal:1–1
- 80′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 89′Internacional, substitution:off
- 89′Internacional, substitution:off
- 90+4′Internacional, yellow card:
- 90+5′Internacional, substitution:off
- 90+7′Fluminense, goal:2–1
- Full-time2 – 1
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Fluminense
Internacional
Match report
Fluminense beat Internacional 2-1 with Acosta goal in 90+7
Fluminense won 2-1 at the Estádio do Maracanã in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 33, Luciano Acosta scoring in the 90+7 minute to complete a comeback against Internacional. The result ended a run of three defeats in a row for the hosts and lifted them to 54 points, still fifth in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half finished goalless, and Internacional struck almost as soon as the second began. Alan Patrick scored in the 46th minute, finishing from Matheus Bahia's assist to put the visitors 1-0 ahead and leave Fluminense chasing the game for more than half an hour.
The equaliser came in the 78th minute through Hércules, making it 1-1. With the contest seemingly heading for a draw, Acosta settled it deep into stoppage time, his 90+7 goal sending the home crowd into celebration. Fluminense had dominated the ball with 76 per cent possession and took 16 shots to 13.
Internacional, managed by Eduardo Baptista, stayed 16th on 35 points. Fluminense travel to Vitoria on Friday 6 November in the league, while Internacional host Coritiba in the same competition.
Alan Patrick was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 8.44, scoring Internacional's goal at the start of the second half even though he finished on the losing side. Hércules, who levelled for Fluminense, followed with a rating of 7.77.
Fluminense held 76 per cent of the possession, yet Internacional managed 13 shots against their 16.
Fluminense beat Internacional 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Fluminense met Internacional in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 33). Kick-off was Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. Referee: Lucas Casagrande. Attendance: 12,282.
Team pages: Fluminense · Internacional · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 46' Goal: Alan Patrick (assist: Matheus Bahia) — 0–1 · Watch Alan Patrick's goal video (46')
- 78' Goal: Hércules — 1–1
- 90+7' Goal: Luciano Acosta — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Fluminense (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Fábio
- 6 Renê
- 3 Thiago Silva
- 4 Ignacio
- 23 Guga
- 16 Nonato
- 35 Hércules
- 17 Agustín Canobbio
- 10 Ganso
- 11 Jefferson Savarino
- 7 Hulk
Internacional (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fluminense 63%, the draw 26%, Internacional 11%. It finished Fluminense 2–1 Internacional.
Fluminense's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Fluminense 63% mainly because our strength rating has them 81 points higher, 1572 to 1491, and home sides in Brasileirão Série A tend to do better than the global norm. The draw sits at 26%, starting from 25% for a gap this size and nudged up by this competition's usual draw rate.
Why Fluminense at 63%?
Fluminense sit 81 points higher on our strength rating — 1572 to 1491. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,351 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,498 games vs 44.6% across all 108,079 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Fluminense hold 15 more possession points (58 to 43 in recent games) across a 81-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,316 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 55–27–18.
Why only 63%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 63% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Internacional at 11%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,217. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Fluminense scored +0.56 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,181 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. With 6 rounds left, both still have something to play for — Fluminense are 3 points off the top four, Internacional 2 points above the drop. Two-motivated run-ins have leaned slightly to stalemates in our corpus, but the measured cell (4118 games so far) hasn't cleared our evidence bar — noted at 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fluminense vs Internacional final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fluminense 2–1 Internacional. Explore more on the Fluminense and Internacional team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.