Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUOL EsporteYouTubeMatch Events
- 4′Cruzeiro, goal:0–1assist
- 24′Atletico-MG, yellow card:
- 25′Cruzeiro, yellow card:
- 42′Cruzeiro, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 46′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 46′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 57′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 65′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 65′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 67′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 68′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 69′Cruzeiro, yellow card:
- 82′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 82′Cruzeiro, substitution:off
- 83′Cruzeiro, yellow card:
- 85′Cruzeiro, yellow card:
- 90+9′Atletico-MG, yellow card:
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Videos
Player Ratings
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Match report
Cruzeiro edge Atletico-MG as Kaio Jorge strikes early
Cruzeiro won 1-0 at Atletico-MG in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 33 at Arena MRV, taking the points with a goal in the fourth minute. Kaio Jorge scored it, set up by Keny Arroyo, and the visitors never relinquished the lead.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
That was the only goal of the night, and it came before the home side had settled. Atletico-MG held more of the ball, with 56% possession to Cruzeiro's 44%, and won seven corners to two. The shot count was level at 17 each, but Cruzeiro put six on target to the hosts' two.
The result lifted Cruzeiro to 57 points, keeping them third and seven clear of Atletico-MG, who stayed seventh on 50. Before kick-off the gap had been four points. Cruzeiro arrived having won four of their last five games, while the hosts had lost 3-2 at Flamengo in their previous outing. Five of the visitors' yellow cards came to two for the hosts.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Cruzeiro a 26% chance of winning. Cruzeiro next host Bahia in Brasileirão Série A, while Atletico-MG travel to Gremio in the Copa Do Brasil on Sunday.
Keny Arroyo provided the assist for the decisive goal and finished as the top-rated performer on 7.85. Jonathan Jesus, rated 7.6, and William, on 7.43, followed him among the Cruzeiro players recognised.
Cruzeiro made six of their 17 shots on target, against two for Atletico-MG, despite the hosts having more possession.
Cruzeiro won 1–0 away against Atletico-MG (half-time 0–1).
Atletico-MG met Cruzeiro in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 33). Kick-off was Thursday, 29 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at MRV Arena. Referee: Raphael Claus. Attendance: 38,072.
Team pages: Atletico-MG · Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Kaio Jorge (assist: Keny Arroyo) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Atletico-MG (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Gabriel Delfim
- 6 Renan Lodi
- 13 Lyanco (c)
- 40 Vitão
- 2 Natanael
- 15 Kevin Castaño
- 21 Alan Franco
- 17 Igor Gomes
- 30 Victor Hugo
- 10 Gustavo Scarpa
- 19 Reinier
Cruzeiro (4-2-3-1)
- 81 Otávio Costa
- 25 Lucas Villalba
- 43 João Marcelo
- 34 Jonathan Jesus
- 12 William
- 5 Zé Lucas
- 29 Lucas Romero (c)
- 8 Gerson
- 10 Matheus Pereira
- 99 Keny Arroyo
- 19 Kaio Jorge
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atletico-MG 50%, the draw 24%, Cruzeiro 26%. It finished Atletico-MG 0–1 Cruzeiro.
Strong home advantage gives Atletico-MG the edge — We give Atletico-MG 50% mainly because home sides do especially well in the Brasileirão Série A, and that outweighs Cruzeiro's slightly higher strength rating of 1607 to 1581. The draw starts near 27% for sides this level but drops to 24%, as both teams' recent games average 3.1 goals and a finishing streak lowers it, only partly offset by the competition's usual draw rate.
Why Atletico-MG in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1581 to 1607. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,643 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.3% of 4,503 games vs 44.6% across all 108,147 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Cruzeiro scored +0.76 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.6% of 1,647 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 50%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 24% and Cruzeiro at 26%.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,489. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
With 6 rounds left, both still have something to play for — Atletico-MG are 4 points off the top four, Cruzeiro level on points with the top four. Two-motivated run-ins have leaned slightly to stalemates in our corpus, but the measured cell (4119 games so far) hasn't cleared our evidence bar — noted at 0 points. Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last 10 home Brasileirão Série A games: 7 wins and 3 draws. The run began on 10 May 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 26 April 2026 — Atletico-MG 0–4 Flamengo. Latest home league result: 17 October 2026 — Atletico-MG 1–0 Coritiba. Across 16,136 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atletico-MG 0–1 Cruzeiro. Explore more on the Atletico-MG and Cruzeiro team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.