Corinthians vs Mirassol — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsTNT Sports BrasilYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 22′Mirassol, VAR review:Card upgrade
- 24′Mirassol, red card:
- 43′Mirassol, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 46′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 58′Corinthians, goal:1–0assist
- 69′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 71′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 76′Corinthians, yellow card:
- 79′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 80′Corinthians, goal:2–0assist
- 83′Corinthians, yellow card:
- 83′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 88′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 88′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 90+4′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 90+4′Corinthians, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
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Corinthians
Mirassol
Match report
Corinthians end winless run with 2-0 victory over ten-man Mirassol
Corinthians beat Mirassol 2-0 at the Neo Quimica Arena in Matchday 33 of the Brasileirão Série A, ending a run of 10 games without a win. Mirassol had Bruno Santos sent off in the 24th minute with the score at 0-0, and from then on they scored none and conceded two.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The home side struggled to turn their numerical advantage into goals before the break, and it stayed goalless at half-time. They broke through in the 58th minute, when Matheuzinho supplied the pass for Matheus Bidu to make it 1-0.
Corinthians sealed the points in the 80th minute as Rodrigo Garro set up Kaio César for the second. They finished with 35 shots to one for Mirassol, with eight on target to none, while holding 60 per cent of possession to the visitors' 40 per cent.
The result lifted Corinthians from 18th to 17th on 36 points, one behind 16th-placed Mirassol, who stayed on 37. Corinthians travel to face Sao Paulo next, while Mirassol visit Chapecoense-sc in the Brasileirão Série A on Tuesday.
Kaio César scored the second goal in the 80th minute and earned the match's highest rating, 8.84. Matheuzinho, who laid on the opener for Matheus Bidu, followed on 8.36.
Corinthians had 35 shots to Mirassol's one, with the visitors failing to register a single effort on target.
Corinthians beat Mirassol 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Corinthians met Mirassol in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 33). Kick-off was Friday, 30 October 2026, 23:00 UTC at Neo Quimica Arena. Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan.
Team pages: Corinthians · Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 24' Red card: Bruno Santos
- 58' Goal: Matheus Bidu (assist: Matheuzinho) — 1–0
- 80' Goal: Kaio César (assist: Rodrigo Garro) — 2–0 · Watch Kaio César's goal video (80')
Starting line-ups
Corinthians (4-2-3-1)
Mirassol (4-2-3-1)
- 22 Walter
- 6 Reinaldo
- 3 Willian Machado
- 34 João Victor (c)
- 32 Igor Formiga
- 25 Neto Moura
- 80 Wallisson
- 77 Alesson
- 33 Eduardo
- 95 Edson
- 30 Bruno Santos
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Corinthians 46%, the draw 31%, Mirassol 23%. It finished Corinthians 2–0 Mirassol.
Home advantage outweighs Mirassol's stronger rating — We give Corinthians 46% despite Mirassol sitting 41 points higher on our strength rating, because the usual home advantage, boosted in a competition where home sides do well, plus Corinthians' habit of controlling the ball, tilts things their way. The draw sits at 31%, starting from 29% and nudged up by the usual draw rate in Brasileirão Série A.
Why Corinthians at 46%?
Home ground, against the rating. Mirassol sit 41 points higher on our strength rating — 1517 to 1476. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,123 such games. Corinthians hold 7 more possession points (56 to 49 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,607 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,506 games vs 44.6% across all 108,189 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 46%?
Because Mirassol are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 31% and Mirassol at 23%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Mirassol win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,353. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
With 6 rounds left, both still have something to play for — Corinthians are 2 points from safety, Mirassol 4 points above the drop. Two-motivated run-ins have leaned slightly to stalemates in our corpus, but the measured cell (4122 games so far) hasn't cleared our evidence bar — noted at 0 points. Corinthians have shed 112 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,398 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Corinthians vs Mirassol final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Corinthians 2–0 Mirassol. Explore more on the Corinthians and Mirassol team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.