Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 9′Philadelphia Union, goal:1–0
- 38′New York Red Bulls, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 56′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 57′Philadelphia Union, goal:2–1assist
- 66′Philadelphia Union, goal:3–1assist
- 73′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 74′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 74′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 74′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 77′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:Foul
- 85′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 85′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 85′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:Foul
- 88′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Match report
Philadelphia Union rout New York Red Bulls with second-half surge
Philadelphia Union beat New York Red Bulls 3-1 at Subaru Park in Major League Soccer's Regular Season - 18, ending a run of results that had left them without a win in their previous four matches. The victory lifted a side struggling near the bottom of the table above a Red Bulls team that arrived in better form.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Milan Iloski broke the deadlock after nine minutes, but New York levelled through Cade Cowell in the 38th minute, assisted by Emil Forsberg, sending the sides in level at half-time. Philadelphia regained control soon after the interval as Indiana Vassilev restored their lead in the 57th minute with an assist from F. Westfield, and Neil Pierre added a third in the 66th minute, teed up by Kai Wagner.
Despite holding just 37 percent of possession, Philadelphia were the far more incisive side, firing 23 shots to New York's 10 and picking up three yellow cards along the way as the game grew increasingly physical. The hosts also won more corners, eight to six, underlining how much of the match was played on New York's terms territorially yet finished decisively in Philadelphia's favour.
Iloski opened the scoring in the ninth minute and finished with a rating of 8.0, while goalkeeper Ethan Horvath and B. Damiani both topped the match ratings at 8.2 despite being on the losing and winning sides respectively.
Philadelphia's 3.08 expected goals figure, against New York's 0.54, reflected just how much more clinical and threatening their forward play was throughout the match.
Philadelphia Union beat New York Red Bulls 3–1 (half-time 1–1).
Philadelphia Union met New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 16). Kick-off was Wednesday, 22 July 2026, 23:30 UTC at Subaru Park. Referee: Fotis Bazakos.
Team pages: Philadelphia Union · New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Milan Iloski — 1–0
- 38' Goal: Cade Cowell (assist: Emil Forsberg) — 1–1
- 57' Goal: Indiana Vassilev (assist: Frankie Westfield) — 2–1
- 66' Goal: Neil Pierre (assist: Kai Wagner) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Philadelphia Union 54%, the draw 22%, New York Red Bulls 24%. It finished Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York Red Bulls.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage plus New York Red Bulls' hot finishing due to cool give Philadelphia Union the lean. The draw at 22% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Philadelphia Union in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1551 to 1527. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,389 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,024 games vs 44.9% across all 98,229 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. New York Red Bulls scored +0.45 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.2% of 1,410 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 54%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 22% and New York Red Bulls at 24%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,692. The cool-off factor takes 2.4 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
New York Red Bulls are winless in their last 11 visits to Philadelphia Union. "Cursed ground" stories don't survive the receipts: winless visitors won 20.4% of 5,584 return visits vs 21.4% class-expected — the rating's own read already covers it. New York Red Bulls's last five: L-W-W-D-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2172 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3970 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York Red Bulls. Explore more on the Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls team pages or the Major League Soccer page.