FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 2′Vancouver Whitecaps, yellow card:Foul
- 9′FC Cincinnati, goal:1–0assist
- 12′Vancouver Whitecaps, goal:1–1assist
- 17′Vancouver Whitecaps, yellow card:Handball
- 25′Vancouver Whitecaps, goal:1–2assist
- 28′FC Cincinnati, goal:2–2assistE. Echenique
- 36′FC Cincinnati, goal:3–2assist
- 41′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:Foul
- 44′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- Half-time3 – 2
- 48′Vancouver Whitecaps, yellow card:Foul
- 56′FC Cincinnati, goal:4–2assist
- 58′Vancouver Whitecaps, goal:4–3assist
- 59′Vancouver Whitecaps, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 63′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 64′FC Cincinnati, substitution:B. J. Ramirez LeonoffE. Echenique
- 64′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 64′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 78′Vancouver Whitecaps, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 84′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 89′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 89′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 3
Lineups
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FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
Match report
Cincinnati edge seven-goal thriller against Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati beat Vancouver Whitecaps 4-3 at TQL Stadium in a Major League Soccer Regular Season round 18 clash that swung back and forth before Pat Noonan's side held on. The result lifted Cincinnati despite sitting 11th in the table, while Jesper Sorensen's Whitecaps, third before kickoff, left without the points their form suggested they might collect.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
P. Bucha put the hosts ahead in the 9th minute, assisted by Samuel Gidi, only for J. Badwal to level three minutes later with Bruno Caicedo teeing him up. Ryan Gauld then turned the game around in the 25th minute, finishing off Oliver Larraz's pass to put Vancouver 2-1 up, but Cincinnati responded twice before the interval: Kévin Denkey equalised in the 28th minute via E. Echenique, and Evander struck in the 36th minute, set up by G. Valenzuela, to send the sides in at 3-2.
The second half brought further drama. Bucha added his second in the 56th minute, teed up by Evander, to make it 4-2, before Gauld's second goal two minutes later, assisted by Badwal, narrowed the gap to 4-3. Cincinnati held on from there despite having only 38 percent of possession and being outshot 19 to 10, with the visitors also edging the corner count three to one.
Evander scored once and assisted another in a 9.0-rated display that underpinned Cincinnati's attacking edge, while P. Bucha's brace made him the game's other standout with a goal contribution at each end of the match.
Vancouver dominated possession with 62 percent of the ball, yet it was Cincinnati who converted their chances more clinically to win.
FC Cincinnati beat Vancouver Whitecaps 4–3 (half-time 3–2).
FC Cincinnati met Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 16). Kick-off was Wednesday, 22 July 2026, 23:30 UTC at TQL Stadium. Referee: Jon Freemon.
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Pavel Bucha (assist: Samuel Gidi) — 1–0
- 12' Goal: Jeevan Badwal (assist: Bruno Caicedo) — 1–1
- 25' Goal: Ryan Gauld (assist: Oliver Larraz) — 1–2
- 28' Goal: Kévin Denkey (assist: E. Echenique) — 2–2
- 36' Goal: Evander (assist: Gerardo Valenzuela) — 3–2
- 56' Goal: Pavel Bucha (assist: Evander) — 4–2
- 58' Goal: Ryan Gauld (assist: Jeevan Badwal) — 4–3
Starting line-ups
FC Cincinnati (3-4-2-1)
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Cincinnati 33%, the draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 41%. It finished FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Vancouver Whitecaps' rating edge outweighs FC Cincinnati's home ground — Vancouver Whitecaps are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover plus their control of the ball on top give Vancouver Whitecaps the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Vancouver Whitecaps at 41%?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 146 points higher on our strength rating — 1597 to 1743. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,923 such games. Vancouver Whitecaps sit -0.40 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,307 such games where the class table expected 36.1%. Vancouver Whitecaps hold 6 more possession points (54 to 48 in recent games) across a 146-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,529 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–30–42.
Why only 41%?
Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,024 games vs 44.9% across all 98,229 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 4.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,692. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Cincinnati scored +0.68 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,700 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.2% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 3 between them: FC Cincinnati 0 wins, 2 draws, Vancouver Whitecaps 1 win. Most recently Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 FC Cincinnati, 3 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.0% of 5553 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps. Explore more on the FC Cincinnati and Vancouver Whitecaps team pages or the Major League Soccer page.