Colorado Rapids vs Austin — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 58′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 62′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 62′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 64′Austin, substitution:off
- 64′Austin, substitution:off
- 70′Austin, yellow card:
- 72′Austin, yellow card:
- 74′Austin, substitution:off
- 74′Austin, substitution:off
- 80′Austin, substitution:off
- 85′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 85′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 90′Colorado Rapids, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 90+2′Austin, yellow card:
- 90+3′Austin, yellow card:
- 90+5′Colorado Rapids, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Colorado Rapids
4-2-3-1
Austin
3-4-3
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Videos
Player Ratings
Colorado Rapids
Austin
Match report
Late Navarro penalty gives Colorado Rapids narrow win over Austin
Colorado Rapids defeated Austin 1-0 in a Major League Soccer Regular Season - 18 fixture at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, with the only goal arriving deep into stoppage time. Rafael Navarro converted a penalty in the 90+4th minute to break the deadlock and settle a contest that had been goalless through 90 minutes of normal time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The home side dominated territory and chances throughout, finishing with 65 percent possession and a striking 24 shots to Austin's eight, eight of them on target compared to just two for the visitors. Colorado also piled on the pressure at set pieces, winning 11 corners to none, yet could not find a breakthrough until the penalty arrived at the death.
Despite conceding the bulk of possession and shots, Austin held firm for long periods through goalkeeper Bradley Stuver, whose display kept the scoreline level until the very end. Three yellow cards for the visitors, against just one for Colorado, reflected the defensive strain they were under as the hosts pushed for a winner.
Bradley Stuver produced a string of saves to keep Austin level for almost the entire match, finishing with a rating of 8.3 despite the late defeat.
Colorado's 24 shots to Austin's eight underlined how one-sided the contest was in terms of attacking output.
Colorado Rapids beat Austin 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Colorado Rapids met Austin in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 18). Kick-off was Sunday, 2 August 2026, 01:30 UTC at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Referee: A. Villarreal.
Team pages: Colorado Rapids · Austin · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 90' Goal (penalty): Rafael Navarro — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Colorado Rapids (4-2-3-1)
Austin (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Colorado Rapids 62%, the draw 23%, Austin 15%. It finished Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin.
A slight rating edge to Colorado Rapids, little else — Colorado Rapids are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage plus their control of the ball on top give Colorado Rapids a clear lead. The draw at 23% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Colorado Rapids at 62%?
Colorado Rapids sit 54 points higher on our strength rating — 1509 to 1455. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,319 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,056 games vs 44.9% across all 98,721 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Colorado Rapids hold 8 more possession points (56 to 48 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,143 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 62%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 62% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Austin at 15%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,698. The cool-off factor takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Austin are missing 2 regular starters — Myrto Uzuni, Brendan Hines-Ike — about 32% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Colorado Rapids vs Austin final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin. Explore more on the Colorado Rapids and Austin team pages or the Major League Soccer page.