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New York Red Bulls vs 19.08.26 23:300 – 1Full Time
Nashville SC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Nashville SC edged New York Red Bulls 1-0 in Major League Soccer's Regular Season - 20 fixture at Sports Illustrated Stadium, with the only goal arriving deep into stoppage time to settle a contest that had remained level at the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the second minute of added time at the end of the match, when Maxwell Woledzi converted an assist from Cristian Espinoza to make it 0-1, denying the home side a share of the points after they had pushed for a goal throughout the second half.
New York held the greater share of possession and produced more shots over the course of the match, but Nashville's defence, backed by a disciplined away performance, restricted the hosts to few clear openings and made the most of their own limited chances to leave with all three points.
Ronald Donkor was the top-rated performer on the pitch for New York Red Bulls with a rating of 7.9, though the home side ultimately came away with nothing to show for their efforts.
New York Red Bulls held 52% of possession to Nashville's 48%, yet it was the visitors who made the decisive breakthrough.
Nashville SC won 1–0 away against New York Red Bulls (half-time 0–0).
New York Red Bulls met Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 20). Kick-off was Wednesday, 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez.
Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York Red Bulls 32%, the draw 22%, Nashville SC 46%. It finished New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC.
Nashville SC's rating gap outweighs New York Red Bulls' home ground — Nashville SC are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Nashville SC's 46%. The draw at 22% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Nashville SC sit 215 points higher on our strength rating — 1496 to 1711. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,026 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 26–27–47.
Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,086 games vs 44.9% across all 99,137 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. New York Red Bulls sit -0.45 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,358 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,939. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
Nashville SC scored +1.04 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,772 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Nashville SC have played 3+ games in the last two weeks; their opponents haven't. Between equals, congested home sides won 47.0% of 2420 measured games and congested visitors 28.2% of 2463 — the cells disagree with each other and with the flat rest table, so schedule stays a watch item at 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC. Explore more on the New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
Nashville SC won 1–0 away against New York Red Bulls (half-time 0–0).
Maxwell Woledzi (90') for Nashville SC.
Goal highlights and video clips from New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC have met 8 times — 3 wins for New York Red Bulls, 1 win for Nashville SC and 4 draws.