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FC Cincinnati vs 19.08.26 23:302 – 1Full Time
New York City FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
FC Cincinnati came from behind late on to beat New York City FC 2-1 in a Major League Soccer regular season fixture at TQL Stadium. The result lifted Pat Noonan's side, who sit above their opponents in the table, while Pascal Jansen's New York City FC remain further down the standings.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Kenji Mboma Dem opened the scoring in the 11th minute, finishing off an assist from Kévin Denkey to put the hosts ahead. New York City FC responded quickly through Luighi Hanri, who was teed up by Axel Ojeda in the 21st minute to level the score at 1-1, a scoreline that held through half-time.
The match remained level until deep into second-half stoppage time, when Evander struck after being set up by Gerardo Valenzuela to make it 2-1 and settle the contest in Cincinnati's favour.
Cincinnati saw more of the ball, with 57% possession, and edged the shot count 13 to 11, though New York City FC's forwards generated a slightly higher expected goals reading across the match.
Evander was rated the top performer on the night, capping his display by scoring the decisive late goal for Cincinnati.
Despite having less of the ball, New York City FC actually posted a higher expected goals figure than Cincinnati, reflecting how sharp their chances were.
FC Cincinnati beat New York City FC 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
FC Cincinnati met New York City FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 20). Kick-off was Wednesday, 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at TQL Stadium. Referee: Fotis Bazakos.
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · New York City FC · Major League Soccer
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Cincinnati 51%, the draw 24%, New York City FC 25%. It finished FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage gives FC Cincinnati the lean. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1628 to 1610. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,478 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.8%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,086 games vs 44.9% across all 99,137 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. FC Cincinnati scored +1.06 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.4% of 1,459 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing.
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.9 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,939. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
New York City FC are missing 2 regular starters — Nicolás Fernández Mercau, Thiago Martins — about 19% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Last 6 between them: FC Cincinnati 1 win, 2 draws, New York City FC 3 wins. Most recently New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati, 4 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5575 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC. Explore more on the FC Cincinnati and New York City FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
FC Cincinnati beat New York City FC 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Kenji Mboma Dem (11') for FC Cincinnati; Luighi Hanri (21') for New York City FC; Evander (90') for FC Cincinnati.
Goal highlights and video clips from FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
FC Cincinnati and New York City FC have met 10 times — 4 wins for FC Cincinnati, 4 wins for New York City FC and 2 draws.