San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 3′San Jose Earthquakes, goal:0–1assist
- 6′San Diego, yellow card:
- 6′San Diego, VAR review:Red card cancelled
- 6′San Jose Earthquakes, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 8′San Jose Earthquakes, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 12′San Jose Earthquakes, goal:0–2assist
- 13′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 18′San Diego, yellow card:
- 30′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 35′San Jose Earthquakes, goal:0–3assist
- 37′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 42′San Diego, goal:1–3assist
- 45+2′San Diego, substitution:off
- 45+3′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 3
- 46′San Diego, substitution:off
- 46′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 46′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 46′San Diego, substitution:off
- 52′San Diego, yellow card:
- 67′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 67′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 68′San Diego, substitution:Cédric Bakambuoff
- 75′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 80′San Diego, second yellow card:
- 82′San Diego, substitution:off
- 88′San Diego, VAR review:Cédric BakambuPenalty confirmed
- 90+2′San Jose Earthquakes, second yellow card:
- 90+4′San Diego, penalty goal:2–3Penalty
- 90+5′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 3
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San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
Match report
San Jose holds off San Diego fightback to win 3-2
San Jose Earthquakes won 3-2 away to San Diego in a Major League Soccer regular season fixture at Snapdragon Stadium, twice threatening to run away with the contest before a nervy finish. Nikolas Tsakiris set the tone inside three minutes, and San Jose were rampant in the opening exchanges.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Preston Judd doubled the visitors' lead in the 12th minute, converting a Tsakiris assist, before Ousseni Bouda made it three shortly after the half-hour mark, again teed up by Tsakiris. San Diego finally responded through Anders Dreyer, whose goal, assisted by Onni Valakari, made it 3-1 at the break with the score already 1-3.
San Diego pushed for a way back across the second half and got their reward deep into stoppage time when Cédric Bakambu converted a penalty in the 90+4th minute to make it 2-3. It proved too little too late, with San Jose holding on for victory despite a red card shown to a player on each side during the match.
Tsakiris was central to San Jose's win, scoring once and setting up two further goals for a rating of 8.6, the highest of any player in the match.
San Diego edged possession at 53% to 47%, yet it was San Jose who made the early running count on the scoreboard.
San Jose Earthquakes won 3–2 away against San Diego (half-time 1–3).
San Diego met San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 24). Kick-off was Thursday, 10 September 2026, 02:30 UTC at Snapdragon Stadium. Referee: Alexis Da Silva. Attendance: 18,799.
Team pages: San Diego · San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 3' Goal: Niko Tsakiris (assist: Beau Leroux) — 0–1
- 12' Goal: Preston Judd (assist: Niko Tsakiris) — 0–2
- 35' Goal: Ousseni Bouda (assist: Niko Tsakiris) — 0–3
- 42' Goal: Anders Dreyer (assist: Onni Valakari) — 1–3
- 90+4' Goal (penalty): Cédric Bakambu — 2–3
Starting line-ups
San Diego (4-3-3)
San Jose Earthquakes (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave San Diego 53%, the draw 27%, San Jose Earthquakes 20%. It finished San Diego 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes.
San Diego's rating edge, but the draw is in play — San Diego are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage plus their control of the ball on top give San Diego the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why San Diego at 53%?
San Diego sit 85 points higher on our strength rating — 1597 to 1512. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,449 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,145 games vs 44.9% across all 100,021 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. San Diego hold 8 more possession points (60 to 52 in recent games) across a 85-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,665 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why only 53%?
San Jose Earthquakes sit -0.45 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.4% of 1,356 games, vs 29.2% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the San Jose Earthquakes win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,029. The control factor adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
San Jose Earthquakes have shed 115 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,727 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. San Jose Earthquakes are missing 3 regular starters — Benjamin Kikanovic, Ronaldo Vieira, Timo Werner — about 25% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from San Diego 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes. Explore more on the San Diego and San Jose Earthquakes team pages or the Major League Soccer page.