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Inter Miami vs 20.09.26 23:002 – 2Full Time
San Diego — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Inter Miami and San Diego shared the points in a 2-2 draw in Major League Soccer's Regular Season - 26, played at Nu Stadium. The result kept Miami third in the table on 46 points while San Diego remained 20th, though the visitors will feel they deserved more given how the contest unfolded.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
San Diego struck first through Anders Dreyer in the 12th minute, finishing off a Jeppe Tverskov assist, before Lionel Messi levelled for Inter Miami on 24 minutes to send the sides in level at the break. The second half swung further when Luis Suárez, teed up by Rodrigo De Paul, put the home side ahead in the 74th minute.
San Diego were not finished, however, and Dreyer completed his brace in the 82nd minute, again assisted by Tverskov, to snatch a share of the spoils. Miami dominated territory and chances throughout, but could not find a winner in the closing stages.
Anders Dreyer scored both of San Diego's goals, including a late equaliser, to finish with a rating of 8.22 despite the away side's inferior position in the table.
Inter Miami's dominance was reflected in a 19-to-8 advantage in shots, yet they still needed a late twist to salvage a point.
Inter Miami and San Diego drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Inter Miami met San Diego in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 23:00 UTC at Nu Stadium. Referee: Rosendo Mendoza.
Team pages: Inter Miami · San Diego · Major League Soccer
Before kick-off Sirius gave Inter Miami 73%, the draw 18%, San Diego 9%. It finished Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego.
Inter Miami's rating gap decides it — Inter Miami are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Inter Miami. The draw at 18% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Inter Miami sit 203 points higher on our strength rating — 1754 to 1550. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 6,009 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.9% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,188 games vs 44.9% across all 100,474 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–21–15.
No scored evidence points the other way. 73% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and San Diego at 9%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.9 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,298. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
Inter Miami scored +0.79 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,889 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Inter Miami have shed 75 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,779 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Inter Miami vs San Diego final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego. Explore more on the Inter Miami and San Diego team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
Inter Miami and San Diego drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Anders Dreyer (12') for San Diego; Lionel Messi (24') for Inter Miami; Luis Suárez (74') for Inter Miami; Anders Dreyer (82') for San Diego.
Goal highlights and video clips from Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.